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Page 4, Foothills, View, March 18,1982
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THE INTERNATIONAL MARKET
Resource scarcities, together with political chaos in
much of the less developed world, are causing
increases in food production to lag behind
populations growth in most of Africa, much of the
Middle East, and parts of Latin America.
This lag in food production, which is also occurring
in such countries with central planning as Poland, the
Soviet Union, and perhaps the People’s Republic of
China, is causing, and will likely continue to cause,
those parts of the world to increase their imports of
grain, causing the price of grain in the world market
to rise. And since the United |States is fully
integrated into the world market, the price of grain in
the United Staes is likely to rise over the next 20
years.
I Finally, since meat and dairy products are
“manufactured” out of grain, the price of these
products to American consumers is also likely to rise.
In other words, if the conditions outlined above
materialize, American consumers will be spending a
larger share of their disposable incomes for food in
the year 2000 than today.
Furthermore, world grain prices are likely to
fluctuate widely, sharply, and unpredictably as a
al policy in the next 20 years. But both consumers
and producers of food should agree on the
desirability of increased research and development in
the areas of energy and of food production and
distribution.
In the short run, there will be some difficult, but
not monumental, problems for Americans in the food
and agricultural sector. But in the longer run, if we
as a people are wise and turn our attention to
increasing world food production, American can
avoid any serious reduction in living standards, and
villagers in Africa and South Asia can avoid
starvation.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
WILLARD W. COCHRANE
Willard W. Cochrane has recently retired from the
University of Minnesota, where for many years he
was Professor of Agricultural Economics and of
Public Affairs, in addition to serving as Dean of the
Office of International Programs. From 1961 to 1964
he was Director of Agricultural Economics in the U.S.
Department of Agriculture and Economic Advisor to
the Secretary of Agriculture. His many publications
include “The World Food Problem”; “American
Farm Policy”; “Agricultural Development Plan
ning”; and “The Development of American
Agriculture.”
Trinity Community
by Doris Scruggs
COURSES BY NEWSPAPER
Most Americans today are understandably complac
ent about their food supply. For much of this century,
farmers have produced more than Americans could
consume. This surplus has kept food prices relatively
low and much lower than in most other countries.
But it may be time to do some hard thinking.
Although there is no cause for Americans to worry
about going hungry in the next 20 years, there are
certain economic developments, particularly on the
international scene, that will affect their food
supplies and their standards of living.
result of abnormal weather conditions, wars, and
changes in the internal economic policies of such
countries as the USSR, China, and India. Thus,
prices received by American farmers are also likely to
fluctuate widely, sharply, and unpredictably.
Further, farm input prices are likely to rise as a
result of soaring energy prices and inflation, leaving
American farmers caught in some unpredictable race
between rising product prices and rising input prices.
Thus, Americans are going to be subjected to some
large, but unpredictable, short-run price movements
in farm products as well as a general upward trend in
prices.
An Appreciation day was held on Sunday for
Rev. Arthur Collum and Forret Carroll. Both men
celebrated, birthdays on Sunday, March 14th.
Forest is church custodian where he has held that
position for twenty four years. All the Forrest
children and grandchildren were present to help
him celebrate this occasion. Bruce Carroll of
Hickory, Toney Carroll of Forest City, Mr. and
Mrs. Cline Dellinger of Belwood. Mr. and Mrs. Joel
Carroll and Jarrett of the community were also
present. Also there to join in on the celebration
were Mr. and Mrs. Max Henson of Henrietta and
Mr. and Mrs. John Belknap of Forrest City. Mrs.
Richard Jolley made a birthday cake honoring
both men and members of the church took a basket
lunch a very enjoyable meal.
CHANGES IN AMERICAN AGRICULTURE
Major changes in the American agricultural
industry since the early 1930’s have made it more
dependent on energy resources and more vulnerable
to changes in the world market. Fewer and larger
farms, using more capital and energy and less labor,
are producing ever increasing amounts of food.
Largely through the magic of new technology, the
number of persons supplied with farm products by
each farmworker has risen from 9.8 in 1930 to 67 9 in
1979.
Increases in farm productivity have outstripped
population growth. In recent years, much of the
resulting surplus has been shipped abroad. By 1979,
when one-third of agricultural production was
destined for export, the agricultural sector of the
U.S. economy had become fully intergrated into the
world market. Much of the world was dependent on
the United States for food, and the United States was
dependent on that foreign market to absorb its
agricultural surplus.
Concurrently, a giant service industry has
developed to provide farmers with such nonfarm-
produced supplies and equipment as tractors,
harvesting machinery, fertilizer, fuel, pesticides, and
mixed feeds. And beyond the farm gate, a giant food
and fiber marketing system has developed to
assemble, transport, process, package, and retail the
products of the farm. These two industries now
dwarf the national farming operation itself.
There is every reason to believe that these trends
will continue into the 1980’s and on to the year 2000.
Should they cause American consumers to worry
about a serious food shortage in the next 20 years? In
a strictly physical sense the answer is no, for a
number of reasons.
First, domestic supplies could be increased by-
reducing food exports. Second, domestic supplies
could be augmented by reducing our consumption of
meat and eating grain directly, as do most of the
world’s people. Third, although an estimated 3
million acres of potential cropland are lost every year
to highways, housing developments, and other
nonfarm uses, some 125 million new acres could be
brought into production if high farm prices warranted
it.
DOMESTIC POLITICS
Given the above scenario, we can expect consumers
to petition the government to assist them to hold
down the price of food by operating a grain reserve,
restricting food exports, expanding domestic food
programs (for example. Food Stamps), and perhaps
imposing price controls.
Farmers, on the other hand, are likely to petition
the government to refrain from doing most of these
things and instead to maintain effective price
supports for farm products and to assist them to
expand exports.
It thus seems likely that there will be some intense
political struggles over domestic food and agricultur-
Mi*. and Mrs. Mark JoUey of Belwood spent the
weekend with Mrs. Marion Jolley.
James Toney remains a patient at Crawley
Memorial Hospital. Miss Erma Bridges returned
to her home after being a patient at Cleveland
Memorial. Mrs. Lucille Humphries is also a
patient at Crawley Memorial where Kenneth
Dobbins has returned home after being a patient
there.
Mt. Pleasant Community
by Betty Blanton
Fifteen members of the Sunshine Club were
present on Wednesday morning for their monthly
meeting. After several items of business were
discussed they adjourned to Jackson’s Cafeteria in
Shelby for a delicious meal together and lots of
fellowship during the meal. After the meal,
several of the members went on a shopping and
looking spree.
Tuesday guests of Mrs. P.G. Joiley and David
were Mrs. Sheiia White, Drewand Aleishan from
Greenville, S.C. , Mrs. Shirley Hamrick of Rock
Hill, S.C., and Mrs. G.O. Humphries. They came
especially to visit with David who was home for
spring holidays from UNC at Greensboro.
Mrs. Shull Whitaker and Mrs. Marie Weaver of
the Pleasant Ridge Community visited with Mr.
and Mrs. Phil Toney of Bostic on Thursday af
ternoon. Then on Sunday, Mr. and Mrs. Whitaker
were guess of Mr. and Mrs. Joe Davison in Shelby.
Mr. and Mrs. Richard Hollifield and Mr. and
Mrs. Drannan Hollifield of Morganton visited in
the community on Sunday and while here joined
members of the church for dinner that was held for
the ‘‘Appreciation Day” for Rev. Arthur Collum
and Forrest Carroll.
Mr. and Mrs. Harvey Harris and family of
Elizabeth City spent the weekend with Mrs. Selma
Harris and Mr. and Mrs. Marion Scruggs.
The flowers placed in the church on Suday were
given in memory of the late B.B. Harris, Sr.
honoring his birthday given by his family.
Christain sympathy i extended to the family of
Junior Ruff who passed away this past week.
Mr. and Mrs. Henry Skinner of Columbia, S.C. ,
Mr. and Mrs. Bill McConnell of Clinton, S.C., Mr.
and Mrs. Bill McCurry of Charlotte, Lanny and
Prospect Community
by Mrs. Broadus McGinnis
Mrs. Arthur Harris visited Monday with Mr. and
Mrs. Odus Scruggs.
Visitors last week of Mrs. Clara Godfrey were
Rev. John Godfrey of Cooper’s Gap, Mrs. Era
Mrs. Davison honored her father, Mr. Whitaker Garmon and Mrs. Lois Beason of Cliffside, Ulysses
... .. ^ LJ r-« V» M/-I T 71 yx T~\ .-V -. 4 ^
SCARCITY OF RESOURCES
On the other hand, the growing worldwide scarcity
of critical resources is cause for concern.
The most important event affecting Americans in
the 1970’s was the energy, or more specifically the
petroleum, crisis, and the oil supply situation for hte
1980’s appears still more perilous.
The worldwide petroleum crisis has several
implications for American agriculture. First, it is
causing the prices of nonfarm-produced necessities,
such as pesticides and machinery, to rise rapidly.
Second, it is creating balance-of-payment problems
for many countries, which will, in turn, give rise to
pressures for food self-sufficiency within those
countries.
Third, this development, taken with the possibility
of the petroleum crisis inducing a worldwide
depression, would reduce significantly the export
demand for U.S. grains and cause the domestic price
of grains to sag to the level of government price
support.
Fourth, the interruption of oil imports into the
United States would play havoc with current
production practices in agriculture, with the transport
of agricultural products, and ultimately with the
location of agricultural production.
Related to the energy crisis is the growing scarcity
of available arable land and water in both the
developed and less developed countries. There is
precious little new land in favorable climates that can
be brought into crop production easily and cheaply.
And water to irrigate additional cropland is now in
very short supply.
More important, the interaction of the growing
scarcities of land, water, and energy operates as a
drag to increased food production. Energy is required
in ever larger amounts to increase total agricultural
production where dwindling supplies of water must
be pumped long distances to new lands that in turn
had to be leveled or diked or drained or cleared to
produce crops. And increased yields on those and
other lands will require increased application of
fertilizers.
The whole process is technically feasible, but
increased production can take place only at higher
and higher costs, which must result in higher and
higher food prices worldwide. This is the meaning of
the increased scarcity of conventional resources.
with a dinner on his birthday Sunday.
Mrs. Steve Goode, Amber and Andy, visited with
her mother, Mrs. Nancy Anthony and her brother,
Chris Griffin, on Thursday in Boiling Springs.
Then on Sunday, the Goodes visited with Mr. and
Mrs. Bobby Penson and Mr. and Mrs. Steve visited her Tursday.
Ivester.
A fish fry was enjoyed by Mr. and Mrs. James
Gillespie at the home of Mr. and Mrs. Frank
Hamrick on Monday evening. The Gillespies are
former residents of this community. They reside
in Bat Cave presently.
Visiting in the home of Mr. and Mrs. Lewis
Jolley on Sunday were his brother, Jim Jolley, and
Mrs. Jolley and her brother, Horace Scruggs and
Mrs. Scruggs of Boiling Springs.
The Buren Hamricks, Mrs. R.T. Cromer and
Frank visited with Mr. and Mrs. Hatcher Spangler
of the Double Shoals Community on Sunday af
ternoon.
The Ranny Blantons were visitors of his mother,
Mrs. Lizzie Blanton, his brother, Wesley Blanton^
her cousin, Orangel Jolley, and her sister, Jane
Wright, all of Kings Mountain on Sunday af
ternoon.
Cottage Prayer Services are beig conducted in
the homes of the deacons of the church in
preparation for revival. The meetings are being
held on Tursday evenings and the deacons are also
leading the services.
The lovely spring arrangement in the sanctuary
on Sunday was given by Blanche, Lillian and
Aileen Joley in loving memory of their parents.
Among those in hospitals for the community are
Mrs. Karl Jordan, Sr., James Jolley, Otto
Matheny, and Tony Hamrick. We wish all of them
a speedy recovery.A fish fry was enjoyed by Mr.
James Gillespie at the home of Mr. and Mrs.
Frank Hamrick on Monday evening. The
Gillespies are former residents of this community.
They reside in Bat Cave presently.
Visiting in the home of Mr. and Mrs. Lewis
Jolley on Sunday were his brother, Jim Jolley, and
Mrs. Jolley and her brother, Horace Scruggs and
Mrs. Scruggs of Boiling Springs.
The Buren Hamricks, Mrs. R.T. Cromer and
Frank visited with Mr. and Mrs. Hatcher Spangler
of the Double Shoals Community on Sunday af
ternoon.
Harmon and Mrs. Verle Davis.
Mr. and Mrs. Roy Tucker and Mrs. Tucker’s
sister, Dellia, of Tryon, Mr. and Mrs. Jackie
Potter and Christy were Tuesday supper guests of
Mrs. Mary Potter. Mr. and Timmy Hullette
Mrs. Broadus McGinnis spent several days last
week in Kings Mountain with relatives.
Mrs. Doris Scruggs and Jill Greene spent
Wednesday night with Mr. and Mrs. Timothy
Pollack in Charlotte.
Michelle Houser of Cliffside spent Friday night
with Rhonda Price.
Mr. and Mrs. Mason Scruggs returned home
Thursday after spending a week in Florida with
Mr. and Mrs. Olen Scruggs in Orange Park. While
there, they visited Rev. and Mrs. Joe Turner in
Green Cove Springs on their way home they visited
Mr. and Mrs. Brooks at Pender Grass, Ga. and
spent the night with Mr. and Mrs. Forrest Kirby in
Leesburg, Ga.
Recent visitors of Mr. and Mrs. Kirk Humphries
and Mrs. J.A. Bartee were Mr. and Mrs. Kelvin
Humphries and Ashley of Sandy Mush, Mr. and
Mrs. Earnest McCraw and Lillie Bailey.
Mr. and Mrs. Alfred Simmons of Mooresville ate
supper Saturday with Mr. and Mrs. W.H. Wood.
Sunday visitors were Mr. and Mrs. Gene Scruggs,
Mrs. Sallie Jolley and Mrs. Helen Aldrich.
Mrs. Nettie Tessneer of Grover spent Tuesday
night and Wednesday with Miss Flora Crawford.
Mrs. Edisto Horton, Mrs. Lissie Littlejohn and
Mrs. Esther Adkins, all of Cherokee County visited
last week with Mrs. Callie Ruppe.
Charles Mosteller and family of Gaffney had
supper Saturday with Mrs. Effie Mosteller.
Mrs. Adelaide Humphries of Grassy Pond ate
supper Sunday with Mrs. Ava McGinnis.
Mrs. Sallie Horn and John Washburn, Jr. of
Boiling Springs visited Mrs. Broadus McGinis
Saturday.
Barry Skinner of Charlotte came to visit Mrs. Nita
Skinner and Mrs. Junior Ruff and to attend the
funeral services for Junior Ruff held at Trinity
Baptist Church on Saturday.
Danny Skinner of Atlanta, Ga. spent the
weekend with Mr. and Mrs. Ben Skinner.
Mrs. Emmie Bridges celebrated her eighty
seventh birthday on Sunday afternoon with a birth
day party in her honor. The following guests called
to help her celebrate: Mr. and Mrs. Hoyle Dobbins
and Ducky Busby of Columbia, S.C., Mrs. Boyd
Lattimore of Taylorsville, Mrs. Kay Bostic of
Charlotte, Lane and Scottie Bostic of the Chase
Community, Bobby and Michelle Bridges of
Ellenboro, Mr. and Mrs. Dannis Hardin of Shelby
and Mrs. J.B. Rogers and sons of Boiling Springs.
Mr. and Mrs. Hoyle Dobbins and Mrs. Francis
Dobbins spent Saturday in Charlotte shopping.
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