ESTABLISHED SEPTEMBER 19,1878 Hoover-Smith Fight Will Be Knock Down & Drag-Out Affair Indications Are That The Race Will Be A Neck and Neck Contest SURVEY HOOVERS’ STAND Washington, May 10. Herbert Hoover, Secretary of Commerce, will be nominated for the Presidency by the Republicans at Kansas City in June. He may win the nomina tion on .the first ballot. He will win it on the first ballot if the Pennsvl- - vania delegation of 79 swings ‘to him. The chances are it will, under an agreement now being arranged between the Hoover campaign mana gers and the Mellon control of the Keystone delegation. In that event, and including other scattering delegations w'here there is real Hoover strength that ha 3 not yet shown itself, Mr. Hoover will I poll approximately 600 votes on the j first ballot. The number of votes I necessary to nominate is 545. The conclusion that Mr. Hoover! will be nominated has been reached by a painstaking survey of condi tions in every State, undertaken by this correspondent and extending over several weeks. During that period the Hoover strength has been steadily increasing. The Secretary’s j boom has come out of the doldrums i where it languished for nearly six- j weeks during March and April. There is no question that it is sweep- j ing- forward at a rate unexpected j even by the Hoover campaign man agers. Ohio seems to have been the turning point. In making this forecast, your cor- j respondent i§ simply recording l the ' result of advices to him from well-1 informed correspondents in each of ! the 48 States. He is not stating his ! personal choice or sentiment but is j writing the facts as he sees them, j He is not attempting to boost or re tard any candidacy, but is trying to give the readers of this paper, ; impartially and without personal col oring, the situation and prospect as they now shape up. Opposing Mr. Hoover, as the Dem ocratic nominee will be Alfred E. Smith, Governor of New York. Smith’s nomination, forecast tw*o weeks a # go, probably will develop in to one of the tamest affairs in years. The opposition-to Smith appears.