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The Daily Tar HeelFriday, April 3, 19879 baseball tomfffs pensively predict outcome off mew ye&ir Chns Spsncer American League Can the Red Sox repeat? Will youth sweep the Texas Rangers into the playoffs? The fields have been dragged and the batter's box lined and training camps break this weekend. So, without further ado, here are my American League predictions (but dont hold me to them, okay?): AL EAST 1. Boston: In the East, the Red Sox will repeat, but only if catcher Rich Gedman and all-wOrld pitcher Roger Clemens settle their contract disputes. Don't expect Baylor, Buckner and Evans to produce like last year, but look for splendid lefthander Bruce Hurst (two World Series wins) and Oil Can Boyd to pitch well. 2. Cleveland: With youngsters like Cory Snyder and Joe Carter leading the powerful offense, the only question for the Indians is consistent pitching. Greg Swindell (Clemens teammate at 1983 NCAA champion Texas) and Ernie Camacho could lead the Tribe to the Fall Classic after 32 years of disappointment. 3. Toronto: With an offense of Jesse Barfield, George Bell and Lloyd Moseby, the Blue Jays, like the Indians, need solid pitching. Dave Stieb must return to all-star form, while Mark Eichhorn must continue to protect leads. However, without any more help in the lineup, the Jays aren't title-winning material. 4. New York: Don Mattingly is $ 1 .975 million richer (does this mean hell have a better year?), and if Mike Pagliarulo and Gary Ward become offensive threats, Rickey Henderson and Dave Winfield will have incred ible years. But acquiring 42-year-old Rick Rhoden for the pitching staff was just plain stupid, and Lou Piniella could be gone by June. 5. Baltimore: The Orioles got catcher Terry Kennedy and World Series MVP Ray Knight in the off season, but the Birds have problems in their pitching staff. New manager Cal Ripken, Sr. will get lots from this club and Eddie Murray will return to all-star status, but without any pitching, the Orioles are in trouble. 6. Milwaukee: The best southpaw in the league, Ted Higuera, anchors the Milwaukee Brewers, but without any support, the runs Rob Deer and ex-Dodger Greg Brock drive in will be in vain. 7. Detroit: Jack Morris has the best pitching record of the 1980s, but the loss of Lance Parrish will hurt a Tiger lineup already vulnerable to lefthanders! Dan Petry and Walt Terrell must have unbelievable years and Kirk Gibson has to hit 60 homers for the Tigers to go anywhere. AL WEST 1. Texas: The Rangers are young, but have the most underrated pitch ing staff in baseball, with knuckle bailer Charlie Hough leading Edwin Correa, Bobby Witt, Matt Williams and Jose Guzman. Pete Incaviglia (30 HR as a rookie) will curb his strikeouts and along with Pete O'Brien, Larry Parrish, Oddibe McDowell and Ruben Sierra, pro vides Bobby Valentine's lineup with tremendous power. 2. Kansas City: The Royals got Danny Tartabull, a brilliant move, . and Juan Beniquez in the off-season, and it may make pitchers throw to demi-god George Brett. Southpaw Danny Jackson anchors the league's best staff in terms of ERA (3.82). If Bret Saberhagen makes a come back, K.C. could go far. 3. California: The Angels gave up Bob Boone in the off-season, but replaced him with veteran Butch Wynegar. Other than that, the team hasn't changed from last year's almost pennant-winning club. Dale Murphy-like Wally Joyner, Gary Pettis and Brian Downing provide the firepower, but the veteran (old?) pitching staff, with John Candelaria and Don Sutton, is very inconsistent. 4. Minnesota: Newly-acquired reliever Jeff Reardon could give the Twins a solid bullpen. Of course, Kirby Puckett, Gary Gaetti and Kent WOW WMti si EDffiaB!. Summer School Students We've made summertime renting even easier! Look at our Short-Term Lease Plan: Pay only for the time you're here Lease for the 1st or 2nd session of summer school rather than the entire summer. Reasonable Summer Rates offered for your ' convenience save money! X Enjoy Summertime Luxuries cool off in our Olympic size pool after visiting the tennis and basketball courts, weightroom or sauna. Whatever your summer rental need . . . we'll accommodate! - " mm mi i FOXCROFf 15-501 across from Hotel Europa on Dobbins Service road M-F 9-5:30, Sat 11-4, Sun 1-4 Call Donna or Jennifer at 929-03S9 TTTMsAlkra!0 WOdcsod lifflassBa MX an 3Ni i ,, , I CMAPfl Mill . I I f BUNKljN L r .'y. y u h f yt u can it. 'Ah-!-.;, ' v t. t ' r ' ' Hrbek will blast their share of balls over the Metrodome fence. If Frank Viola and Bert Blyleven get help in the rotation, the Twins could sur prise some. 5. Seattle: Youth leads the Marin-, ers out of the season, and will lead the club out of the cellar. Ken Phelps has Babe Ruth-like power and walk numbers, while Phil Bradley and Alvin Davis are similarly bright spots in the lineup. They have little support, though. 6. Chicago: With three solid starters in Rich Dotson, Floyd Bannister and Jose DeLeon, the White Sox could overcome the confusion ex-general manager Ken Harrelson left. Harold Baines is a very underrated all-around player, and maybe for his sake hell be traded to a contender. 7. Oakland: Old-timers Reggie Jackson and Ron Cey join rookie-of-the-year Jose Canseco in the A's lineup, but Curt Young and Jay Howell are all the pitching staff has, and that's not enough. James Surowzedd National League Spencer's crazy. The Yankees will take the AL. But enough about that. On to the only league that matters (at least until I get an American League rotisserie team). NL EAST 1. New York: This pick will no doubt shock many. But yes, the Mets will repeat. Even Dr. K's coerced vacation and Roger McDowell's hospital hiatus will not hurt the best team in baseball. The Mets have everything, from a brilliant pitching staff to a solid bullpen to a devas tating lineup. The Kevin McRey nolds deal gives them, along with Darryl Strawberry, two of the best and most underrated outfielders in baseball. 2. St. Louis: The trade for Tony Pena will help this team. The move fills a gaping hole at catcher, and guarantees slugging Jim Lindemann a spot in the lineup. Expect Tom Herr to rebound to the tune of .280, 80 RBI, 80 walks. Ozzie Smith is a terrific offensive shortstop, and St. Louis' pitching staff could be extremely tough. But the Cardinals should let Rick Horton start and get rid of Vince Coleman and Terry Pendleton. 3. Philadelphia: Von Hayes had a phenomenal 1986. He had 46 doubles and 19 homers, drove in 98 runs, walked a ton and hit .305. Mike Schmidt was MVP, and deserved it (.290, 37, 119). Juan Samuel is an extra-base maniac, and Lance Par rish will mean 30 dingers from behind the plate. The question, then, is the pitching. The answers are Don Carman, Kevin Gross, Shane Raw ley and Bruce Ruffin. Good enough? Probably not. 4. Pittsburgh: I'm not sure why the Pirates traded for Van Slyke. He may have a tremendous year, but he has never hit lefthanders, and his addition crowds an already packed outfield. Barry Bonds could be better than his father, Johnny Ray is consistently good and Mike Diaz has 30-homer potential. The pitching, though, resembles an awful soap opera. Something like "The Old and the Bid." 5. Chicago: The Cubs keystone combination is unequaled, with wunderkind Shawon Dunston (37 doubles, 17 homers) and Ryne Sandberg. But Jody Davis is so overrated, and counting on Leon Durham and Keith Moreland is not recommended as a recipe for victory. 6. Montreal: Whether Raines signs is irrelevant. The entire starting pitching is up in the air and the proposed bullpen by committee has been bombed all spring long. Hubie Brooks, Tim Wallach and sudden star Mitch Webster (31 doubles, 13 triples, 36 SB) form a nice offensive nucleus. But the Expos will miss the Hawk dearly. NL WEST '1. Cincinnati: The Reds' rotation is still uncertain, but their bullpen is tremendous. The key, then, is their hitting, which could be among the league's best. Eric Davis will be better than Willie Mays, and could turn in a 40 HR, 140 SB season. Dave Parker is as consistent a run producer as there is in baseball, and the platoon of Tracy Jones (.349) and Kal Daniels (.320) will spark the top of the order. If phenom Barry Larkin lives up to advance notices, the Reds will be a hit. 2. Houston: The Astros won the division not because of Hal Lanier's style of go-go baseball, but because of their pitching. They in fact scored fewer runs in 1986 than in 1985, but Cy Young winner Mike Scott and southpaws Bob Knepper and Jim Deshaies kept Houston in almost every game. Massena, N.Y., native Deshaies may very well win 20 games this year. Glenn Davis and Kevin Bass provide the offensive punch, but not enough. 3. San Francisco: Hum-babe, hum-babe. Roger Craig has this team rocking offensively, and could develop a fine pitching staff. Will Clark had 23 doubles in 1 1 1 games, and will be great if he learns to walk. The Davis duo, Mark and Chili, must have great years if S.F. is to do anything. And why isn't Mike Aldrete playing every day? 4. Los Angeles: This was a team devastated by injury last year. Every regular except Steve Sax was side lined at one point in the year. Sax had a magnificent season. But the rest of the offense consists of too many questions and not enough answers. As for the pitching, it's typically solid, but after Fernando not stunning. Much will depend on how Bob Welch and Pedro Guerrero rebound from their various ailments. 5. San Diego: What a mediocre team this is. They traded a true franchise player in Kevin McRey nolds and didn't get enough in return. Tony Gwynn (.329, 33 dou bles) will turn in another banner year, and Lance McCullers should make everyone forget about Goose Gossage. The team is young, and there is some talent with players like John Kruk (.309) and Benito San tiago. But the pitching staff is decidedly unspectacular, and Larry Bowa sounds like Steve Boros' twin. 6. Atlanta: The Braves are an abominable team, a festering wound in the side of the National League. Aside from Dale Murphy and Glenn Hubbard, the other players are either awful or tiresome. That Chuck Tanner is still managing is a tribute to the power of a nice disposition, even if said disposition obscures absolute idiocy. 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Daily Tar Heel (Chapel Hill, N.C.)
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April 3, 1987, edition 1
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