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2The Tar Heel Thursday, June 16, 1988 State and National Afghanistan withdrawal difficult to monitor By BOB LUKEFAHR Staff Writer The withdrawal of Soviet military forces from Afghanistan is continuing slowly as an estimated 10,000 to 15,000 troops left the country last month. Under a United Nations-sponsored agreement from April 14, the Soviet Union is obligated to withdraw at least half of its 1 15,000 man force by Aug. 15 and have the remainder out of the country by Feb. 15, 1989. Some Soviet experts have expressed doubts about meeting the Aug. 15 deadline, but a State Depart ment official who asked not to be identified said: "From what weVe seen it's still possible to meet that goal. We don't see any cause for alarm at this time." The United Nations has 50 observers in the area to monitor the withdrawal according to the agree ment, but the 900-mile border News Analysis between Afghanistan and the Soviet Union makes effective verification difficult. "It is unclear how many were withdrawn when the first group went over the border," said James Phillips of the Heritage Foundation, a think tank based in Washington, D.C. The U.N. verification team of 50 is too small to be effective, said Robert Rupen, a UNC political science professor. "There's no question that (the team) is token," he said, leaving other countries to rely on Soviet informa tion about the speed of withdrawal. It is almost certain that the fighting between the Soviet-backed Commu nist government and the U.S. sup ported Mujahadeen rebels will con tinue after the Soviets are gone. (P J TTT 1 7-1 . L v i g Fresh Pasta 8? 5 .5" l LASAGNE VERDI " r gc LINGUINE VENEZIA 'HZ CANESTRELLI CON FETTUCINE Kte fi "3 Grilled Seafood and V-'jif .? iv. 3 Venetarian Specialties ' -ft fit- mSi M ..iu. WEST FRANKLIN STREET i V Vv V THE COCRTYARD-CHAPEL HILL V X V . 929-02V" Pyewacket Restaurant &Bar Do Remember DABS It's his day Sunday, the one day in the year when one can unabashedly say, "Thanks, dad!" And you can give proper thanks gracefully with a great book from i i Downtown and University Mall, Chapel I Iill (We'll even accept dad's credit card for the purchase of his gift) Open 7 days a week Open Evenings "We believe it is inevitable that the Kabul regime will fall. What they (the Communist government) were unable to do with 115,000 troops, they won't be able to do alone," the State Department official said. "They (the Afghan people) want the Communists out and the Russians out," Rupen said, adding that any compromise is unlikely. "They are not ready to make a deal. I dont think there is likely to be a unified government." The Afghan government has been fortifying the city of Kabul, which according to the State Department has three rings of defense extend ing 20 miles from downtown. About 22,000 Soviet troops man the defense. Phillips noted that the government has laid thousands of land mines around the city, serving to keep the Mujahadeen out and the army in. The Afghan army, numbering between 30,000 and 40,000 soldiers, has been plagued with problems. "Force levels are maintained mostly by press-gang conscription," the March State Department Bulletin noted. "It's been a disaster," Rupen said. "They did not form the type of army they needed ... it is indeed falling apart." "The Afghan army is not a major factor, but the secret police will fight maybe not to the last man, but they are dependable," Phillips said. He estimated there were at least 20,000 members of the secret police concentrated in Kabul. "They (the rebels) may beseige the city, but I dont think they will be able to take it," he said. The Mujahadeen rebels are a coalition of seven groups based in Police Pakistan and Iran. Analysts expressed concern that differences between the various rebel groups may prolong the war. "If the Soviets do withdraw, since they are the glue that holds them (the Mujahadeen) together, there is a good chance the coalition will fray," Phillips said. "Once the Kabul government falls, there is a chance there will be further fighting (between the rebels)." For now, the Mujahadeen gener ally are avoiding direct confrontation with the withdrawing Soviet troops. "They (the rebel attacks) are mainly concentrated on areas from which the Soviets have already withdrawn," the State Department official said. If these trends continue, the civil war between the rebels and the government in Kabul should escalate early next year, after the withdrawal is complete, but "nobody knows what's going to happen," Rupen said. from page 1 "I want personnel to know there is a grievance procedure available," Gunnells said, noting that the prob lem was a lack of time for review. The changes in duties involved no pay increase or change in job clas sification for the eight officers, Gunnells said in a statement he prepared for the hearing. Herman was advised that turning in hearing materials to University officials on June 6 or 7 did not allow a sufficient amount of time to review them and prepare for a June 8 hearing, Gunnells said. Herman said he had not spoken to anyone concerning the cancellation until June 7 when one of his clients Unheard of reductions just when you can enjoy them the most! Jonathan Edwards Linen Blend Sport Coats, reg. $145, ZINGERED TO $59.90! College Hall Tropical Wool Suits, reg. $295, AT ZINGER OF $139.90! Milton's Tropical Wool Blend Suits, reg. 295, AT ZINGER OF $99.90! Sussex 60 Cotton Blend Poplin Suits, reg. $1 95, NOW 119.90! Milton's All-Silk Sport Coats, reg. $245, ZINGERED TO $109.90! Jonathan Edwards AU-S ilk Sport Coats, ren 3?T5 AT 71NC.FJt HF 79 ant College Hall Linen Blend Sport Coats, reg. $175, NOW $79.90! All-Cotton Sport Shirts-Striped Chambray 8c Sheeting by Allen Wickfield, reg. to $37.50, AT ZINGER OF $1 7.90 With these tremendous reductions, compare our buys and quality with other stores' sale prices, and find out what Milton's is all about! Mlttm'i Clotfjmg Ctipboarb 163 E. Franklin St., Downtown Chapel Hill nuuis. iviun.-oai. iu-o:ou; oun. i-o; aDo-H4uo f called him. He said he had spoken to an employee at the Employee Relations Division, but the employee told him that he was unsure if the hearing would be take place. Although the University did not receive the material in written form until June 3, it had plenty of time to understand the issues because it has known about them since June 1987, Hermair added. Herman declined to make any further comments about the issue. resumes $15.00 Satisfaction Guaranteed Laserset rsum6s are $1 5.00 per page. Resumes are ready the next day with same day rushes possible. LASER PRINTERS 203 12 E Franklin St. M-F 9-6 967-6633 - above Sadlack's - W were fighting for American Heart ourufe Association It brings out the best in all of us. United Way
Daily Tar Heel (Chapel Hill, N.C.)
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