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The Daily Tar HeelWednesday, November 15, 19897
UNC women's soccer
success Dim miymlbers
By SCOTT GOLD
Assistant Sports Editor
As a child, chores really stunk, didn't
Mowing the lawn. Yuck. Cleaning
those stupid little cracks in the bath
room tile. Ugh. Those cold winter morns
with Bowzer in one hand, the family
pooper-scooper in the other. Blech.
As we get older though, and chores
go through a strange metamorphosis
and become professions, we realize that
there are dreams that go aiong with all
of them, dreams that represent the ulti
mate, the pinnacle, the climax, the . . .
whew, I'd better stop there, I'm getting
excited. Even if it's just one tiny little
thing that would make it all bearable.
; Journalists dream about the perfect
lead to their story OK, OK, maybe
j Archaeologists think about finding
! Astronauts think about landing on
Chemists think about making a real
pair of "Wonder Twins," that, when
activated, can turn into such fun things
as glaciers and eagles.
J Football coach Mack Brown relishes
the thought of a season consisting of 12
games against VMI.
These are obvious ones. But what do
you suppose all those people who are
mathematicians and statisticians think
about? How can you have dreams about
numbers? What could possibly be ex
citing in a world like that?
' To have your bank account miracu
lously add up to Pi? To map your neigh
bors yard on a Cartesian Coordinate
No. Somehow, these just aren't as
stimulating as biologists discovering a
cure for puberty. Not at all in the same
Hey . . . here's an idea, and there are
lots of numbers involved, too. You
don't have to go underwater. You cer
tainly don't have to go to Pluto. The
ultimate in success, the most fun you
can possibly have as a statistician, lies
right here in oP Nahth Cayrolina.
I find it hard to believe some of you
are still dumbfounded. It's the women's
soccer team, doofusses.What could
be better? Here are some primo ex
amples, ones that stat-people would
get off on for hours on end:
In their 1 1th year of varsity compe
tition, the Tar Heels are 204-7-8, so
they win 93.15 percent of the time. In
order to lose 100 times, UNC would
have to play soccer for approximately
137 more years, putting them into the
year 2126. Mr. Jetson (and daughter
Judy, no doubt) could come watch.
. By that time, according to current
schedules of victory, they would have
stacked up 3,3.55 wins. , .
, On the other, side of the coin, if the
team won only one game a year, as
other UNC sports clubs have been
known to do, they would have had to
start the trend back in 1785 in order to
amass 204 wins. I think Ronald Reagan
was a spry young lad back then.
From staff and wire reports
On Monday, North Carolina re
cruited two prep Ail-Americans to give
them three of the country's top dozen
' Tuesday, the Tar Heels added an
other Top 50 prospect when 6-8 for
ward Pat Sullivan of Bogota, N.J., made
an oral commitment to attend UNC.
As a junior at Bogota High School,
Sullivan averaged 30.7 points, eight
rebounds and two assists per game and
led his team to a 27-2 record. Sullivan
chose UNC over Providence.
Sullivan joined what could become
the North Carolina backcourt of the
future 6-3 point guard Derrick Phelps
of Christ The King High in Middle
Village, N. Y., and 6-6 wing guard Brian
Reese of Tolentine High in Bronx, N. Y.
Phelps is rated the nation's No. 1 1
prospect and Reese No. 12 by recruit
ing analyst Bob Gibbons of All-Star
Sports in Lenoir. Earlier, the Tar Heels
signed the No. 1 0 prospect, 6-1 0 power
forward Clifford Rozier of Bradenton,
Phelps chose North Carolina over
Syracuse. Reese also considered Geor
gia Tech. They visited the Chapel Hill
campus together last weekend.
"We talked some about playing to
gether," Phelps said. "I think we'll fit
together well. I've played against him
and he's real tough. He's a good leaper
and a good shooter. I can penetrate
pretty well. I always look for the pass
first if the man is open."
Phelps, a lefthander, averaged 11
points and eight assists last year. Christ
the King coach Bob Oliva compared
Phelps' playmaking abilities to former
Boston Celtics star Bob Cousy. Reese,
who averaged 21 points and 10.2 re
bounds last season, said he simply
wanted to play for Smith.
"It's one of the schools I've always
dreamed about since childhood," Reese
said. "Dean Smith is a great coach.
He's helped many kids get to the next
level the NBA. One of my goals is to
get to the NBA."
Two days remain in the early na
tional signing period for high school
prospects. Players who do not sign now
must wait until April.
There are more streaks associated
with this team than with Tammy Faye's
makeup after she found out Jim had
become slightly "unhinged." Since
1 986, UNC has gone 93 games without
a loss, including this year's not-too-bad
record of 22-0-1 . Fifty-four of those 93
games have been against fellow Top 20
teams, and 65 of those 93 have been
won by shutouts. The current streak
long ago obliterated the old record for
men's and women's soccer, which was
set by the Penn State men's team back
in 1 94 1 , when it lost its first match in 65
North Carolina has held the na
tion's top ranking in ISAA polls since
the first week of September 1986,
totaling four seasons and 40 weeks in
a row. I don't know, but that's got to
be some sort of a record.
You want more streaks? You know
how it's a really big deal if a basketball
or football team goes unbeaten in its
conference? UNC has never lost a
conference game. It gets worse, too.
Perhaps the most amazing thing
about the Tar Heels, though it is hard to
pin down, is that they may be the only
organized team that has never lost a
game at home. Ever. Since the origin of
the program, they are 97-0-2. In that
10-year span, the squad has outscored
its opponents 606-33. To give that pal
try 33 a little perspective, UNC has
scored 40 goals at home this season.
The team has won seven of the last
eight national championships losing
only the 1985 trophy to George Mason
in the finals, 2-0. In this decade, the
team has won more championships than
have been produced by all six other
ACC schools not just for soccer, for
all sports combined.
Here's a fun one since the be
ginning of the 1986 season, UNC has
been behind in a game only four times,
including two weeks ago in the finals
of the ACC Tournament. The squad
trailed for 3:10 in a 1986 George
Mason contest, 8:05 in last year's
ACC final, 5:16 against Hardin-Sim-mons
in this season's opener and 1:14
in this year's ACC title match.
Therefore hold on to your hat,
Descartes in 8,490 minutes of play
ing time, the Tar Heels have trailed
for a total of 17:45. Thus, the team
trails an average of (heh, heh)
0.2090605 percent of the time. There
fore, their chances of losing are ap
proximately 478:1 approximately,
mind you. So according to statistics,
they should have to play for another
21 years before they lose, if they
average 23 games a year. Therefore;
their undefeated streak would b6 at
something like 575. If that held true,
their winning percentagewould, be
somewhere in the vicinity of 97.46.
Remember, all of this is in the yii
cinity. So, those of you who are around
in 2010, when the team is scheduled
to lose, who want to come hunt ' me
down when soccer has been replaced
trial-handball and doesn't even exist
in 2010, take it easy.
Because damn it, Jim, I'm a writer!
not a mathematician. "'
We Will Be Closed
Grade "A'' Self-Basting
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