The news in this publi cation is released for the press on receipt. THE UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA NEWS LETTER Published Weekly by the University of North Caro lina for its University Ex tension Division. DECEMBER 14, 1921 CHAPEI. HILL, N. C. VOL. VIII, NO. 6 Editorial Board i M 0. Sraiison, 8. H. Hobbs, Jr., L. R. Wilson. E. W. Knicht, D. D. Carroll, J. B. Bullitt, H. W. Odum. Entered a.s second-class matter November 14.1914, at the Postofflce at Chapel Hill, N. C., under the act of Au5nist24. 1913, OUR RAPIDLY GROWING CITIES URBAN CAROLINA IN 1920 The bare’Tacts about Carolina Indus trial in 1920, as reported to the North Carolina Club in course of its studies during the last college year, were passed dti to the reading public in the Univer sity News Letter Volume VII, No. 50. We are here summarizing the bare facts about Carolina Urban in 1920 ac cording to the latest census reports on population. Urban Carolina concerns 731,123 peo ple living (1) in 413 incorporated small- towns with fewer than twenty-five hun dred inhabitants each and (2) in fifty- five cities with more than twenty-five hundred inhabitants each. The line between towns and cities is drawn by the census authorities at 2,500 inhabi tants and, if unincorporated, small town populations are counted as rural. More than a fourth or 28.6 percent of the people of North Carolina now live under town and city conditions, as (1) consumers not producers of the 'raw materials necessary to existence and to manufacture, (2) with overhead lo cal machinery for self-rule and self-ex pression in behalf of economic, social, and civic advantages. Countryside Carolina The dwellers in the open country of the state, outside incorporated places of any sort or size whatsoever, number 1,828,000 or 71.4 percent of our total population. But not all these country dwellers are farmers. Almost .exactly a fourth of them are foresters, miners, quarrymen, fishermen, and wage-earn ers in numerous unincorporated mill and factory villages in country or suburban areas. The farmers with their families number 1,376,000 souls, while all other people in the country areas of North Carolina number 452,000. In the main the daily work of country dwellers is the production of the raw materials necessary to existence and to manufac ture. The essential economic difference between rural and urban populations is this; country dwellers are producers of raw materials, while town people are consumers or transformers of raw ma terials, and distributers of finished eco nomic products as brokers and mer chants. The farmers of the state produce crude wealth as individuals or as family groups settled in solitary dwellings scattered throughout forty-nine thous and square miles—seven dwellings to the square mile on an average the state over, and fewer than four to the square mile in eight counties, both races count-; ed. They lack community life and overhead local machinery for self-rule and self-expression in behalf of eco nomic and social advantages. They produce, sell, and buy as individuals without adequate organization. They dump their wares on the market at the end of the harvest seasons instead of merchandizing their products through out the year as the mills and factories are able to do; and only recently have they begun to organize on any large scale in North Carolina for business advantages. They dwell in isolation and insulation more or less complete; which explains the static or stagnant social areas in the remote country coun ties of North Carolina. ' In brief, seven of every ten people, on an average, still dwell in the open country of North Carolina. Which means that seven of every ten voters belong to country precincts, that seven- tenths of the people of the state are served, if served at all, by country churches, that seven-tenths of our school population must take their chances in the country schools such as they are. It also explains why more than nine- tenths of all the white illiteracy of the state is country illiteracy. More Country Dwellers And the country population of North Carolina did not decrease as in twenty- four other states of the Union during the last ten years; on the contrary it steadily increases from decade to dec ade, and the increases are due almost entirely to the virility and fecundity of our country people, white and black— to the excess of births over deaths, and not to immigration as in the western states. ' Manifestly our native white country people are a hardy, not a de cadent stock, as in the North and East. On the contrary we lead the United States in cradles and baby carriages. But while the country population of i the state as a whole was increasing 9.5 j percent during the last ten years, nine-; teen country counties and 308 country townships suffered population decreases ranging from one to thirty-one percent. Nearly a fifth of all our counties and nearly a third of all our townships lost population in 1910-20. Almost without exception they are remote and lonely country counties, or remote and lonely country townships in wide-awake coun ties. In the main their population losses are due (1) to sparsity of population, poor roads, and poor schools, (2) to in ability to organize for business and so cial advantages, and (3) to the attrac tions of industrial and ui^an centers with their offers of livelier existence, and larger amounts of wage money for weekly fingering. The nineteen dwindling country coun ties of the state and their ten-year losses of population are Alleghany 4.4 percent, Camden 4.8 percent, Carteret 31.3 percent, Chowan 5.8 percent, Cur rituck 5.5 percent, Haywood 0.5 per cent, Hyde 5.1 percent, Iredell 2.2 percent, Lee 8.4 percent, Lincoln 16.5 percent, Madison 0.7 percent, Mont gomery 2.4 percent, Pamlico 9.1 per cent, Pender 4.4 percent, Randolph 4.0 percent, Richmond 2.2 percent, Rowan 8.9 percent, Scotland 15.7 percent, and Tyrrell 7.1 percent. The 308 dwindling townships lie in ninety of our one hundred counties. The state over, there were only ten counties that did not have one or more townships decreasing in population dar ing the last ten years. Forty-one coun ties lost population in a third or more of all their townships. Fewer Farmers The loss of population in a farm area means diminishing incomes from rented f^ms, diminishing land values, dimin ishing chances to secure renters or to sell land at any price, a larger number of wilderness acres, and a dwindling agriculture. It also means poorly sup ported country schools and churches, less ability to build public highways and to finance public health service, and a smaller opportunity to organize for self-defensive marketing purposes. And further, it means decaying towns with less business and smaller profits for merchants and bankers, smaller chances to sell town lots and to rent stores and dwelling houses. In short, it means static or stagnant social areas, lacking highway and railroad facilities, lacking nearby market towns and ready money, lacking bank facilities and news paper service, school advantages, and stimulating outlook in general. This is the state of affairs in nineteen country counties and 308 country townships in ninety counties of North Carolina to day. The white people in these areas are an unmixed native stock, and all in all there are no better country people in the world, but they are fleeing out of drowsy conditions, and it is the young, alert, and ambitious who go, leaving behind the old folks, the unalert, and the unaspiring. But even more to be considered is the fact that they are leaving the negroes behind in our most fertile farm regions, for in 1920 as in 1910 the negroes are sticking to the farm better than the whites. And while the open-country areas of the state were increasing 159,000' in general population and our farms were gaining 16,000 in number, we were los ing 134,000 farm workers, and 615,000 acres were passing out of cultivation. And moreover, the cultivated farmland of the state was dropping from 4 to 3.2 acres per inhabitant. Over against a decrease of 22 percent in the number of farm workers must be placed other population increases as follows: city in crease 54 percent, factory workers and mechanics 64 percent, traders and bank ers 44 percent, transporters 45 percent, professional people 73 percent, clerical workers 100 percent, and office holders, local, state and federal 247 percent. Push-and-PulI Forces Farm populations are driven out of our country regions as though fired out of a catapult—driven by humdrum lone liness and unrelieved monotony, by the hardships of small profits or no profits at all in farming as a business in aver age years, by poor roads, poor schools, and poorly supported churches, by in adequate medical service at well-nigh prohibitive prices, and so on. At the same time they are attracted into our industrial-urban centers by the lure of the crowds, by the glittering show windows and entrancing film pictures, by the weekly wage envelope, by the chance to finger larger sums of money than they ever before dreamed of, and even more by the chance to spend THE TRUE TEST , Ralph Waldo Emerson The true test of civilization is not in the census, nor the size of cities, nor the crops~No—but the kind of men the country turns out. money for things they never before dreamed of possessing in all their lives. So much for the combined effect of the push-and-pull forces that play upon deep-seated human instincts. It is the inevitable result of developing indus trialism in every country of Christen dom. Factory industries produce cities —more cities and larger citjies than ever before in the history of the world. A modern city is essentially a manufac turing center—this, first of all; and the more extensive and varied the indus tries, the larger the opportunities for trade, transportation, banking business, commercialized amusements, profes sional, clerical, domestic, and personal workers, caterers, and the like. A community without manufacturing in dustries may be a country market town of small proportions, a local trade ship ping, and banking center, and all in all an attractive residence place, as Wil mington for instance; but without fac tory enterprises steadily multiplying in number and size it cannot hope to lead in population increases. For instance, forty years ago Wilmington was the largest city in North Carolina—with nearly twice the population of Raleigh, nearly three times that of Charlotte, and more than four times that of Win ston and Salem combined. Today it stands not first but third in population, in North Carolina. Like New Bern it has just about doubled its number of inhabitants during the last four dec ades, while six lively manufacturing centers have increased in population in ratios that range from ten to fifty-four fold. Leading Carolina Cities The following table -tells the story of increasing populations since 1880 in our fourteen cities with 10,000 inhabitants or more in 1920. Cities 40 yr. inc. Pop. Pop. percents 1920 1880- 1 Gastonia 5,354 12,871 236 2 Rocky Mount 2,208 12}-742 552 3 High Point 1,343 14,302 991 4 Winston-Salem 1,054 48,395 4,194 5 Asheville 990 28,504 2,616 6 Durham 964 21,719 2,041 7 Greensboro 844 19,861 2,105 8 Wilson 619 10,612 1,475 9 Charlotte ' 553 46,338 7,094 10 Salisbury 410 13,884 2,723 11 Goldsboro 244 11,296 3,286 12 Raleigh 164 24,418 9,265 13 Wilmington 92 33,372 17,350 14 New Bern 89 12,198 6,443 These fourteen larger cities absorbed nearly half the total population increase of the entire state during the last ten years, and their ratios of growth are almost exactly in keeping with their ratios of industrial expansion. Since 1900 we have doubled the number of our factory establishments and wage earning employees, and we have multi plied by ten or more both the capital employed and the volume of goods turned out. The effect upon city in creases of population is direct and pro digious. During these twenty years the ratio of country dwellers dropped from 82.3 to 71.4 percent of the total population. Ten years ago North Carolina was being urbanized more rapidly than thirty-six other states of the Union. Our city population increase during 1900-1910 was more than four times the rate of country increase, and in only twelve states were the ratios greater. But in 1910-20 our city population increase was nearly six times the yate of our country population increase, and the chances are that in still fewer states were the ratios of city increase greater. {The 1920 census figures, we may say, are not yet available for all the states.) It thus becomes clear that while North Carolina is still rural in popula tion, we are rapidly ceasing to be a ru ral people, that we are moving with rapid strides out of ruralism into indus trial urbanism—in population, in liveli hood, in wealth production, concentra tion, and domination. Our Little Country Towns A city, or a small town with pros- j pects of growing into city proportions, ; sits up on a four-legged stool, so to * speak, and the legs of this stool are , (1) farming and other country occupa- ; tions that produce raw materials, (2) manufacture, (3) trade and transporta tion, and (4) banking. And it sits in securely if any one of these supports (be infirm. A country market town sits up on a three-legged stool and the legs of it are (1) the surrounding countryside, (2) trade and (3) banking. And it sits in securely if its back-country is an agri culture area diminishing in population ojr in prosperity—if its attitude toward the trade territory be indifferent or supercilious, or exacting and grasping if it is content to take interest from farmers rather than interest in farm ers—if it is unconcerned about progress and prosperity in the nearby country regions, in better country roads, better country schools, and better supported country churches—if its tax moneys go to support its own schools, libraries, and public health activities, with little or no thought of sharing these freely with the country homes round-about—if its banks be of the spider-web instead of the honey-bee variety. Large or small, no town or city can grow fat in a lean countryside. Neither individuals nor communities can safely live upto themselves alone. Here and there, in this and every other state, are small towns that are trying to balance on two-legged stools of this sort—a feat that only acrobats are equal to. With the farm leg gone, they are teetering on trade and bank ing as town supports. They are towns without an economic basis in agricul ture or manufacture—in which, as the wits say, everybody tries to make a living by taking in everybody else’s washing. We found towns of this sort in the Berkshire hills last fall, and we have such towns in increasing number in North Carolina and the South. Census Danger Signals Of course they fail, and the 1920 cen sus tells the story of failure in detail. They fail to grow in population. When country people desert the farm, they do not often move into drab and dreary little towns, half-awake, half-asleep, half-alive, half-dead. They go over these unattractive little places into brisk and lively mill or city centers—in North Carolina and in every other state. The cities grew during the last ten years, but not the little towns, as a rule. Four of our industrial centers al most exactly doubled in population dur ing this period, and fifteen little places developed factory enterprises and moved up into the rank of census-size cities. Meantime our 413 small towns increased in population only22,271 all told—which means an average increase of five in habitants apiece per year. Ninety-five or nearly a fourth of the total did not increase at all—they “swunk like Sam bo’s catfish”. And nearly a third of the dwindling little towns had fewer inhabitants in 1920 than they had in 1850. They fail to grow in business. With the housing problem acute in wide-a wake centers everywhere, witness the empty stores and dwellings in thirty- odd little towns in North Carolina— towns that are manifestly down-at-the- heels and out-at-the-elbows. They fail to grow in civic pride and enterprise. Witness the thirty-nine little places in North Carolina that sur rendered their town charters and faded from the mj(|) during the last ten years, and among them were some of the old est settlements in the state. Some years ago Charles Edgeworth Jones wrote a sketch entitled, The Dead Towns of Georgia. The dead towns of North Carolina are now inviting the at tention of historians. The new century already records an alarming list of dead, wounded, and missing municipalities in thi^ and other states. Small-Town Functions Our little towns are set between the two horns of a dilemma: they must def initely determine to be choice residence centers on the one hand or to develop factory enterprises on the other. Most of them never can be and never ought to be industrial centers; but all of them can be the happiest places on earth to live in and to rear children in safely. They must begin to function properly in sheer self-defence. That is to say, they must be pridefully related to them selves and helpfully related to the sur rounding trade areas, or they must dwindle and disappear as the state moves faster and faster into an indus trial, urban civilization. The University is therefore offering to the 240,000 people in the 413 little country market towns of the state two courses, one on Small-Town Planning, and the other on Srnall-Town Relations to Trade Territories. And it will offer these courses in vain unless the atten tion of the state j:an be fastened upon them. The proper functioning of our small towns is equally important to the coun try people of North Carolina, (1) be cause they need convenient market cen ters where they can turn into instant ready cash farm products of every sort—not cotton and tobacco alone, (2) because they need to move into these little centers out of the loneliness of sparsely settled areas, and to live there not as store-keepers, bankers, and rent collectors, but as farmers busy with farming on nearby farms, as in the old world countries, (3) because our coun try civilization must develop community life and organization or it must inevita bly fall into decay. These little places must be captured by our farmers and turned into farm centers—not into trade and banking centers merely but into farm communi ties busy primarily with farming as a business. It is the easiest way out. And a way out must be found, for eighteen hundred thousand people will not for ever dwell in solitary sort, a few fami lies to the square mile, in a vast expanse of fifty thousand square miles. The pr.esent state of affairs in the country regions of the state cannot last forever. It is a denial of a fundamental human instinct—the craving for companion ship. Our country people were lonely before but they were not acutely aware of it until rural free deliveries, auto mobiles, and country telephones aroused them out of social apathy. The city ward drift is already strong in nineteen country counties and 308 country town ships, and the numbers will greatly in crease as the state moves on into a be lated but vigorous industrial-urban era. Townspeople and country dwellers in the cotton counties of the state are un- believal^ly stupid, if they cannot or will not give themselves to economic and social stock-taking long before the approaching boll-weevil depopulates farm areas and destroys the business of farmers, traders, and bankers, alike; or so at least for awhile—a while that seems like an eternity to the sufferers. It is the boll-weevil way everywhere. The Look Ahead Does the drift of country populations into the industrial-urban centers of North Carolina promise good or ill for the state? Is our civilization moving ahead in the right direction? Is ours at present a well balanced civilization? Has it long been too rural and too little urban? Does the state need more and larger cities and a smaller farm popula tion? These are important inquiries, but they cannot be fully considered within the limits of this brief study. In stead, the following propositions are submitted—not as conclusions but as subjects for debate. First. Well or ill, the cityward drift will continue. It is not a local but a world-wide movement. The problem is not to turn people back to the farm or to keep people from leaving the farm, but to make farm life efficient, pros perous, satisfying and wholesome for country-minded people who choose to live in the country. There are now and will always be many country-minded people in every state and nation, but at present they are being driven out of the eountfy by unendurable condi tions, economic and social. Second. If these conditions cannot be cured, and in the main they must be cured by the country people themselves, then country life in North Carolina will fall into decay as in the New England and the North Atlantic states. The in dustrial supremacy of this area is now imperiled by the decline of agriculture. As a result eastern factories are being moved into regions of larger food pro duction and lower food costs. Mean time New England manufacturers are spending millions of corporation money for agricultural rehabilitation in the Eastern states. Third. So far in our history, we have had too many producers of farm pro ducts, and too few local consumers. Our towns and cities have been too few and too small to furnish ready, profit able markets for any farm products but cotton and tobacco, and in average years the demand for these in the ma^ets of the world reduces th^ net income of our farmers to the lowest possible terms. The way out lies (1) in bread-and- meat farming and (2) a larger consuming public at home, (3) with cotton and to bacco as surplus money crops for local and for world-wide consumption. In a word, North Carolina, is now and has always been too rural and too little urban. Two-thirds of our wealth pro ducers are farmers. In the United States as a whole the ratio is one-third, and it is not an unsafe ratio, the balan cing of forces considered. A smaller ratio than this is perilous for manufac ture as well as agriculture,, as both Old and New England are now discovering— and discovering too late. Keeping civilization . on even keel is the most important question this state can cunsidur. Which moans that rural social science and political economy are one in North Carolina, and that an ounce of either is worth a whole ton of politics.--E. 0. Branson, a North Carolina Club Study.