SATURDAY. JANUARY 22,1994-THE CAROLINA TIMES-15 SOUTH AFRICA After Elections, Will There Be Stability? By Kenneth Jost CONGRESSIONAL QUARTERLY 1994 WASHINGTON — After four decades of domestic unrest and in ternational condemnation, South Africa has jettisoned its policy of ra cial apartheid and started down the path to a non-racial democracy. But the country still faces perilous obstacles to political stability and economic and social change. , A new government will take office after elections scheduled for April 27 — the first in which all races will participate. The balloting is expected to give a big majority 'to the African National Congress (ANC), which has led the fight against apartheid since the 1950s. ANC President Nelson Mandela is all but certain to head a five-year coalition government. "We are at the beginning of a new era," Mandela declared after three years of stop-and-start negotiations finally produced a post apartheid constitution last November. Mandela spent 27 years in prison for leading a sabotage campaign against the white regime. Despite the undoubted accomplishments, the country still faces political dangers between now and April. A coalition of white and black conservatives continues to oppose the constitution and threatens to boycott the election. Political violence, which claimed more than 4,300 lives last year, also casts a shadow over the campaign. "There’s an enormous amount of violence in South African society that will inhibit the easy run-up to elections," says Robert Rotberg, a Harvard University professor of African politics. The new government will confront an agenda of pressing social, economic and political issues that would strain the most stable of democracies, "It’s inevitably going to face severe difficulties," says Steven Friedman, director of the Center of Policy Studies in Johan nesburg. The constitution gives any party that wins at least 5 percent of the vote in April a right to representation in the Cabinet. In addition, the party that comes in second — probably, the current governing Nation al Party — can choose a deputy president. That means that President F.W. de Klerk, who has presided over the dismantling of apartheid for the last four years, will probably be deputy president under Mandela in the new government. But the two men have often had testy relations since de Klerk ordered Mandela freed from prison in 1990 and started the government on the path to reform. "Unforced coalitions are sometimes not very easy," Friedman remarks. "Forced ones are even less so." The new government will face a daunting economic task. South Africa’s economy has grown at less than 2 percent per year since the mid-197Qs. Private sector jobs failed to grow at all in the 1980s. And the government has a huge budget deficit — nearly twice as much as the United States in relation to the nation’s gross domestic product. Apartheid has also resulted in vast inequities between blacks, who make up more than three-fourths of the country’s population, and whites, who constitute less than 15 percent of the population. Per capita income for whites is 10 times that of blacks. Nearly half of South Africa’s black labor force is unemployed or underemployed. More than 7 million people, nearly one-fifth of the population, live in "informal housing" — squatter camps, backyard shacks or other makeshift housing in urban or rural areas. The country’s economic landscape is not uniformly bleak, however. "It’s got a good infrastructure, good raw materials and good revenue-earning capacity," says Pauline Baker, an expert on South Africa at the Aspen Institute in Washington. With moderate-sounding economic positions from Mandela and other ANC leaders. Baker adds, international investors are "poised to enter the market." Political conditions, however, remain unsettled. The Freedom Alliance a tenuous coalition of the white Afrikaner People’s Front and the In- katha Freedom Party led by Zulu Chief Mangosuthu Buthelezei — has so far refused to say whether it will compete in the April election. And many observers expect violence to intensify between now and the election. "Passions are high, and there’s no concept of tolerance," says Robert Schirre, a professor of political studies at the University of Cape Town, "A completely free and fair election is not possible." The constitution sought to bridge the political differences by setting up a "national unity" government to rule until 1999. The interim charter — which can be rewritten by the new parliament — also contains a bill of rights aimed at reassuring the white minority that their rights will be protected under a black majority government. Some observers worry, however, that the new government will be crippled by the power-sharing arrangement and by the decision to grant broad powers to nine new provincial governments. "The gov ernment of national unity is going to be translated into a government of political paralysis," says Eugene Nyati, an independent political analyst in Johannesburg. Other observers, however, see some advantages to the forced coali tion. "You don’t get a winner-take-all mentality," says Baker. The contrasting political assessments mirror the contradiction that permeate South African society. The country is at one time a land of beautiful mountains and beaches and vast areas of arid desert and desolate highlands. It is a country where First World cities like Johan nesburg, Cape Town and Durban stand amidst the Third World poverty of squatter camps and overcrowded townships. No one expects these contradictions to be resolved with a Single election — or even in a single generation. "Blacks are going to rhfnain poor and whites are going to remain wealthy for a time," says phliti- cal scientist Schirre. • • - • . Political and economic realities, moreover, militate against hpl^ in- itiatives by the government. The economy remains largely in white hands. The constitutional accord preserves whites’ jobs in the milita ry, the police and the civil service. And the ANC may temper itS’ac tivism to hold the national unity government together and reassure domestic political constituencies as well as international audiences. "The ANC is probably the only liberation movement in history to speak of financial discipline before it assumes power," says Jeffrey Herbst, an economist at Princeton University’s Center of Internation al Studies who recently spent a year in South Africa. ' ' Still, most observers in and out of South Africa end with a measure of cautious optimism about the fiiture. They stress that the conslitu- tiona! negotiations have already settled many of the contentious political issues and may have set the country’s political combatants on a road toward using compromise to resolve future conflicts-'as well. ; "There are not going to be any simple answers," says Stephen Jay Stedman, a professor of African studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies in Washington. "The only way out of the problems is for all sides to engage in a long protracted pro,CBSs, and that’s been done over the last three years. That’s the most im pressive thing and gives you the most hope for that country " ' . AFRICAN NATIONAL CONGRESS, 707 8th St„ S.E Washing ton, D.C. 20003; (202) 543-9433. The ANC maintains an ;eight- person office m Washington headed by Lindiwe Mabuza. The tele phone number for its Johannesburg headquarters — including South Africa’s country code — is 27-11-330-7000. ' SOUTH AFRICAN EMBASSY, 3051 Massachusetts Ave- N,W Washington, D.C. 20008; (202) 232-4400. The embassy appears4o have become more responsive to requests for information since the government instituted its reform policies. ■ - SOUTH AFRICA FOUNDATION, 1001 Connecticut Ave., Suite 822, Washington, D.C. 20036; (202) 223-5486. This business- sponsored group aims at promoting economic development, trade, and investment in South Africa. Staff members in the Washington office include Michael Christie, director, and Sylvia Gon, deputy director..- TRANS-AFRICA, 1744 R St., N.W., Washington, D.C. 20009; (202) 797-2301. Trans-Africa is a leading organization in the U.S: ’ anti-apartheid movement. Its director is Randall Robinson. For Environmental Work Land Loss Prevention Project Awarded Grants The Land Loss Prevention Project (LLPP) announced that it has received two foundation grants and a gift-in-kind donation to support its work in the area of environmen tal equity. Grants of $35,000 each were received from the Z. Smith Reynolds Foundation of Winston- Salem, North Carolina, and the Public Welfare Foundation in Washington, DC. In addition, through a partnership between Ap ple Computer, Inc. and the En vironmental Support Center, LLPP received a personal computer, soft ware and printer valued at more than $2,700. LLPP, a nonprofit law firm dedi cated to providing assistance to people who are in danger of losing their land, is based in Durham, North Carolina, with branch offices in Ahoskie and Wilson, LLPP’s goal is to protect the rights of small, minority, and elderly farmers and rural landowners who are expe riencing economic hardship, dis crimination, or legal problems lead ing to the loss of their land. In addi tion, LLPP is committed to en hancing opportunities for rural eco nomic development. Through its North Carolina Rural Environmental Equity Project, LLPP is examining the increasing incidences of environmental Illegal Tax Protestors Subject to Federal Action GREENSBORO — The idictment of Phillip Marsh, runder of the tax protest group nown as the Pilot Connection, lould serve as a warning to North ■arolina taxpayers to stay away om illegal tax protest schemes. Indictments announced on lecember 7, by the U.S. Attorney 3r the Northern District of alifornia, charged Marsh and !ven other people with federal tax Dnspiracy and related' criminal ffenses, including conspiring to efraud more than 10,000 idividuals nationwide. 'Hie IRS said that it currently has riminal investigations underway ivolving 124 tax protestors ationwide who used unfounded institutional arguments and phony :hemes to avoid paying their sderal income taxes. "The investigations include 65 eople nationwide who are ivolved in schemes offered by the ilot Connection," said J.R. tarkey, district director of the iternal Revenue Service. "One undred seventeen North larolinians have involvement with le Pilot Connection, and civil and riminal enforcement actions are eing considered on all of them." "A recent scheme of diverting rcome involves the use of simple lists. Diverting income to trusts oes not relieve a taxpayer of the responsibility to pay income taxes. Taxation arises as the individual constructively receives the income, which is before it is placed in the trust," said Starkey. The IRS states that regardless of the form of the schemes, they all have two things in common-the participants face IRS civil and criminal penalties, and the various schemes are consistently rejected by the federal courts. Some other popular tax protester schemes and arguments found in North Carolina which have no legal basis include: Some protestors argue that "voluntary" means they can "volunteer" not to pay tax. While the U.S. tax system is based on voluntary compliance, taxpayers are required to file their own tax returns. Some protestors use a Fifth Amendment claim to justify committing tax fraud. A person cannot use a blanket claim that the tax law violates the Fifth Amendment protection against self- incrimination. To implement their tax avoidance schemes, many protestors file fraudulent tax withholding forms W-4 with their employers so tliat no tax is withheld from their pay. Starkey added, "In North Carolina, the IRS has investigated individuals filing false W-4’s in the Hickory, Charlotte and Asheville areas. Penalties have been assessed on 139 North Carolina residents who were affiliated with this protest scheme." Nationwide over the pa.st 10 years more than 2,000 tax protestors have been convicted of criminal lax charges, with over 60 percent receiving jail sentences. During the past four years about 60,000 civil assessments have been made against illegal tax protestors. Whether a person is convicted or acquitted of criminal charges, all outstanding taxes and penalties still must be paid. WORD WISE Q: The word agree seems to take so many prepositions, it confuses me. Can.you help? A: The word agree takes the prepo sition “with” when you’re referring to a person; “to” for suggestions; “in” for thinking; and “upon” fora course of action. degradation in rural areas of the State, including the siting of in tensive swine operations in eco nomically distressed rural com munities in Eastern North Carolina. LLPP staff attorneys are working with residents in concerned com munities, and with a groundbreak ing coalition of grassroots organi zations and environmental organi zations to address these problems. The Z. Smith Reynolds Founda tion, established in 1936 as a memorial to the youngest son of the founder of R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company, has made grants totaling more than $198 million to recipients in all of North Carolina’s 100 counties. In recent years the Foundation has focused its atten- tipn on improving the criminal jus tice system in North Carolina, on strengthening public elementary and secondary education, on preserving the environment, on stimulating community economic development, and on issues that im pact on minorities and women. Since 1983, the Z. Smith Reynolds Foundation has given LLPP five grants totaling over $250,000. The Public Welfare Foundation was funded in 1947 by Charles Ed ward Marsh, a native of Ohio who spent his professional life in the newspaper business. The Founda tion provides support to organiza tions that provide direct services to low-income or otherwise seriously disadvantaged populations, where adequate financial support is other wise unavailable. At the forefront of the Foundation’s concerns are the basic necessities of life food, shelter, health and education. The Environmental Support Cen ter (ESC), founded in 1990, is a na tional nonprofit organization that supports the organizational devel opment needs of regional, state, and local groups working on en vironmental issues. In addition to providing equipment ESC sub sidizes training and technical as sistance; promotes workplace fundraising through environmental federations; and fosters communi cation and cooperation between grassroots environmental organiza- - tions. Apple Computer, through its Community Affairs Department, has donated computer technology to a wide range of nonprofit groups for more than ten years. This col laboration between ESC and Apple is designed to distribute computer equipment to grassroots organiza tions to promote more effective of fice administration and program management. One hundred and fif ty organizations in the* United States were selected to receiving equipment and technical assistance valued at more than $290,000: ' ANNOUNCEMENT The Durham Board of County Commissioners soiicits applicants to fill positions on the following citizens’ boards and commissions: . — Animal Control Advisory Committee: Three expired terms (two "at-iarge" positions and one "veterinarian" Dosition [terms expire Ja/i- uary 1997]). This Committee advises the Board of County Com missioners and the County Manager with respect to animal control matters. .. '' — Board of Public Health: One expired "pharmacist" position, ope expired "medical doctor" position," and one expired "engineer" posi tion (terms expire January 1997). This Board formulates policies and procedures for the Public Health Department. ^ ' — Domiciliary Home Community Advisory Committee: One un- expired term (expires September 1994). subsequent terms are. for two or three years. The committee develops community awareness, of domiciliary home needs and ensures freedom of residents rights. Members shall have no financial interest, directly or indirectly, in a domiciliary home and no immediate family of a resident can serve Oh the committee. — Durham Farmland Preservation Board: New board. Staggered three-year terms; board will comprise the following: at-large appointeeS“One from business; one from each of the five tuwrisnips (Carr, Lebanon, Mangum, Oak Grove, and Triangle) who are active in farming; one African-American farmer; and one female farmer, me Board will advise the County in adopting, implementing, and ao- ministering a Farmland Preservation Program. , r % — Memorial Stadium Authority: One unexpired term (expires May 1995). I his Authority supervises and directs the general operation of the Durham County Memorial Stadium. . , — Wrestling and Boxing Commission: Three expired positions (terms expire January 199^. This Commission supervises wrestling and boxing events. . . , , „ — Youth Services Advisory Board: Three anexpired !?'’rhs (one expires September 1994; two expire September 19958). 1 ask force assesses the needs of county youth, evaluates funded programs,-and alerts the community about available funds and prograrns. ■ • Property tax listing must be current. County and City taxes must not reflect any delinquencies before an application is submitted. Appointments will be considered by the County Commissioners pn Monday, February 14, 1994, at 7:00 p.m. in the Commissioners Meet ing Room, second floor, Durham County Government Administrative Complex, 200 E. Main Street. . c- For applications or additional information, contact Garry t. umste , Clerk to the Board of County Commissioners (560-002/). DEADLINE FOR RECEIPT OF APPLICATIONS IS January 31,1994

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