Piephao Okmmm m*d tmmkm hmm drntknatrnd XWmi nation*. inpmH kttmm tmmr td nw?lw may adtmrn amy population growth ki th? nmxt tmw )?ai. Disease and famine decimate African nations By DAVID BRISCOE WASHINGTON - Population experts now believe that.several African countries may achieve zero population growth in just a few years. But family planners are not cheering. The reasons are gruesome and worrisome: populations devastated by AIDS and further threatened with food shortages water depletion, eco logical collapse and social chaos Family planners have been trying for decades to halt the population explosion in countries projected to double or triple populations by 20S0. But they didn't want it to happen this way. They don't want allies that kill and destroy societies "A lot of countries will not see expected population increases because of rising death rates" said Lester Brown, president of World Watch and author of a new report on world population problems Revised United Nations projections for population growth will be out at the end of October, and U.N. demographers confirm that the impact of AIDS in some African countries will be dramatic, even "unbelievable." AIDS, which killed 2.3 million adults and children last year, will not slow worldwide population growth, however. That will reach 6 billion by the middle of next year and is expected to rise to between 7.7 billion and 11 billion by 2050. Hardest hit by AIDS is Zimbabwe, where 25 percent of the popula tion now carries the AIDS virus Brown estimated its population will stop growing and possibly begin declining in just four years ' Current U.N. projections made in 1996, have Zimbabwe more than doubling in population, from 11 million to 24.9 million, by 2050. Larry Heligman, assistant director of the U.N. population division that draws up the long-range projections said demographers are closely watching deaths from AIDS in 34 countries These include countries ? where the infection rates have hit 2 percent or where the affected popu lation is large, such as India which has more than 4 million of the world's estimated 30 million people now infected by the virus "When you begin to look at the projection* beyond 2005, what we are seeing is just unbelievable," Heligman said in an interview. He said some revisions were made in projections two years ago because of AIDS, but the 1998 impact will show "even stronger devastation." Ironically, alarm over the impact of AIDS on population in the worst-hit countries comes as the spread of the virus has leveled oft* or declined in the United States and other wealthier countries and is slow ing even in some poorer countries: Thailand, Brazil and Uganda, for example. ? < Fueling the concern are the first detailed global figures on AIDS infection percentages released at an international AIDS conference in June. In addition to the impact on Zimbabwe, the U.N. data show Botswana with 25 percent AIDS infection, Namibia with 20 percent, Zambia with 19 percent, Swaziland with 18.5 percent and several other African countries with 10 percent or more. By contrast, the AIDS infection rate in the United States is 0.57 per cent. The global rate also remains below 1 percent. Groups working to control rapid population growth around the world are concerned the new projections will be viewed as support for the cynical view that the world's problems will take care of themselves no matter what humans do. "We must not let people think that an epidemic is going to solve problems. It's going to worsen them," said Amy Coen, president of Pop ulation Action International, which conducts research and supports efforts to slow population growth worldwide. Coen, in an interview, noted that AIDS usually hits people in the prime of life, in their most productive years. In some countries, the num ber of AIDS oiphans - children who have lost both parents to AIDS - is in the hundreds of thousands. In Uganda, where the impact of AIDS is acute despite recent gains, there are 1.7 million AIDS orphans. "No country can afford a generation of throwaways," Coen said. "The next generation isn't just going to pop up fine." Brown, in his Worldwatch report, cites a number of pressures in addition to AIDS that may pull down populations down by pushing up death rates, including the environmental effects of population growth: i deforestation, soil erosion and falling water tables. The challenge, said Brown, is to keep families small before disease, < environmental deterioration or resulting social chaos force tragic popu- | lation declines. , < "We had hoped we'd be able to stabilize populations by bringing I down birth rates," Brown said. "Now, some of our worst fears are being I realized." T . ? 1 Bradley, L.A.'s first black mayor, dies By MJCHAfcL fUEMAN TygAMOCIATEPWtfcSg LOS ANGELES - He took over a city divided. He left a city divided. In the 20 yean in between, Tom Bradley, the firm and only black mayor of Lot Angela, lelt the warm glow of the Olympic (lame and the tearing heat of riot fire*, The tall, quiet Texas sharecrop per's son and college track star who rose through the ranks of the LAPD to become a city council man and then a five-term mayor of Lot Angela died of a heart attack Tuesday at age 80. Bradley never fully recovered from a hart attack and stroke in 19%. As mayor from 1973 to 1993, Bradley was credited with opening city government to minorities and women, expanding social services to the urban poor and spurring economic growth. Under his administration. Lot Angela surpassed San Francisco as the Wat Coast's economic power in Pacific Rim trading, sym bolized by the downtown skyline that grew during his administra tion, i "He made us proud to be pari of this city," nid City Attorney James Hahn "We were prowd of him as our mayor - his dignity, has grace and Ins willingness to get t bines done. The 20 yean be wu mayor will probably be the years when Lot Angeles really pew up and became a world-class city." Bradley was first elected over Mayor Sam Yortv in a bitter, racially tinged election con ducted when the fears of the 1965 Watts riots were still fresh! The successful 1984 Olympic Games stood out as his crowning achievement. The economic ruin and traffic gridlock many feared never materi alized. The low point was in 1992, when riots broke out after four white LAPD officers were acquit ted in the beating of black motorist Rodney King. Bradley appealed for calm, but some and hia angry denunciation of the verdicts may have provoked violence. He would later dcachbe the violence that left 55 people dead ae "die most painful experi ence of my life." A soft-spoken man, he gov erned quietly, by building coali tions instead of using die bully pulpit. His long hours and energy, even into his 70s, were legendary. It was a style of leadership that served him well for much of hia two-decade rule - until he could no longer keep up with the changes, some gradual, some convulsive, in the late 1980s and early m In the end, after a political scandal in 1989, the King beating in 1990 and the riots two years later, his political supporters would leave him, inner-city leaders would feel abandoned by him, and the voters would feel it was time - per haps past time - for him to retire. At 75, he announced his retire ment, avoiding an election he probably couldn't have won. Richard Riordan, a white conserv ative Republican, succeeded him as mayor. Born in Calvert, Tern Bradley moved with lue family to Lot Angeles, where he Hfftdnf the Utuverwty of California at Lot Angeles The 6-foot-4 Bradley ?toned on the track team. He joined the Police Depart ment and rote to the rank of lieu tenant while earning lue law degree at Southwestern Univertitv. at tPttt ? aata't tt W9w wt wt T * He won a City Council teat in 1963 and ran for mayor hi year* later, toeing a bitter election tinged with racist rhetoric to Yorty. In 1973, Bradley ran again and this time beat Yorty with 56 percent of the vote. In 1981, Bradley, running at a Democrat, lost the governors race to Republican George Deukmejian by lest than 1 percentage point. He lost a second bid for governor in 1986 Beginning in 1989, Bradley, became embroiled in a political scandal involving hit acceptance of a fee for serving at an adviser for a bank doing business with the city. After leaving office, he joined a law firm in Lot Angeles. , He it survived by hit wife. Ethel, and two daughters Funeral arrangements were no(, immediately announced. Blacks protest Rebel ceremony oy BAR I JANSEN THE ASSOCIATED PRESS ELLICOTT CITY, Md. Descendants of Civil War veter ans honored their ancestors by rededicating a monument, but critics viewed the ceremony as a celebration of hatred instead of history. / About 150 people, some wearing historic uniforms and costumes, participated in the Sons of Confederate Veterans event Sunday. -It's important to me because I have 20 ancestors who fought in the Confederate army," said Elliott Cummings of Baltimore, who wore a major's uniform from the Army of Northern Vir ginia, complete with sword and gold brocade on the gray wool. "They fought for independence. "I About 75 protesters, most or whom were black, silently marched past the ceremony. Countv and state notice kent the two group* separated. The Rev. John Wright of First Baptist Church of Guilford wore a sign hanging from his neck on a chain that said, "Auc tion For Sale." "When evil shows up ... there needs to be a response," Wright said. Patrick Griffin III, national commander of the 27,000-mem ber Confederate group, criticized Gov. Parris Glendening for refusing to proclaim Sunday "Confederate Heritage Day." In contrast, Griffin said for mer Gov. William Donald Schae fer issued a proclamation for a similar event in Montgomery County and sent his secretary of state to attend. ""County Executive Charles Ecker approved the heritage day proclamation for the county, say ing he knew black residents might take offense but that he felt the event was to recognize a historic milestone. In a statement. Secretary of State John Willis said the event would unnecessarily inflame emotions and divide residents. To whoops and rebel yells. Griffin urged participants to punish Glendening politically, suggesting they "grab a bucket of hot tar and some feathers and head to Annapolis." "There is a lingering cloud of political correctness on this itate that impairs Gov. Glendcning'i vision," Griffin said. The granite memorial beside the Howard County Circuit Court building bears a bronze plaque with the names of 92 local soldiers who died in the Civil War. After years of false starts and fund-raising, it was originally dedicated Sept. 23, 1948, and officials sought to revive interest in it for the 50th anniversary. "It's to show the people of . Howard County their history and they should be proud," said Joseph Bach of Hagerstown, commander of local chapter of the Confederate group called Col. William Norris Camp 1398. Richard Oark, vice president of the Howard County Histori : eg) Society, said while slavery whs an issue in the war, soldiers fought to preserve their families > and communities. "What the hiitorical society it about it acknowledging history, warts and all," said Clark, whose godfather helped dedicate the memorial originally. Sherman Howell of Cohtm bia, the vice president of the African American Coalition of Howard County, said the goal of Sunday's protesters was to demonstrate that the county is open to all races. He compared the grbfe? to civil rights march es he participated in during the 1960s in Mississippi and Wash ington, D.C. "We're still seeking libera tion," Howell said. Cummings said each group must be allowed their own cere monies. "I don't care," he said of the protesters. "We have, as much right to our cause as they do." THE | CHRONICLE The Choice for African American I Newt and Informa tion Subscribe Today, Call: 722-6624 wscUn@netu J justice department agrees to settlement THE ASSOCIATED PRESS LOS ANGELES - The Justice Department has agreed to pay $4.1 million to hundreds of immigra tion workers who claimed they were denied promotion because they are black. Under a proposed settlement, back wages would be paid to about 800 past and current employees of the Immigration and Naturaliza tion Service and 26 will be promot ed, the Los Angeles Times report ed Friday, citing a copy of the pact. Without admitting wrongdo ing, the government also agreed to pay SI .5 million in legal fees and to hire an independent consultant for , three years to monitor the hiring and promotion of blacks. If approved by a federal judge in Washington, it would be one of the largest bias settlements against the federal government. "The settlement is completed," said David L. Ross, an attorney representing the plaintiffs. INS spokesman Greg Gagne in Washington said a preliminary set tlement was reached but declined to release details. "We're hoping it will be final ized and signed within the next few days," Gagne said. However, it could take the judge months to grant final approval. The case began more than five years ago when 19 INS investiga tors in the Los Angeles area alleged that they were denied pro motions because of racial bias. That eventually led to a class action lawsuit. v "I feel relieved, but 1 can hardi ly say I'm happy about what hap pened," said Norris Potter III, the lead plaintiff. "This case has hum bled me. But I feel I'm a more com passionate person now." Under the settlement, the Los Angeles-based INS criminal inves tigator would receive $90,000, a promotion and transfer to Seattle. ???? The Chronicle's e-mail address is: wschron@netunlimited.net I CaMCtaa? tytil 1?V1LLEI8L8C"" ,? C i ? >i ifffl oi OffUw fftmMl Orrni tniilt M&cClM WhX lftSjlTpm 1|SrjU,E8L8 , I ms CADILLAC '3.500 DISCOUNT On All Remaining 1998 CADILLAC SEVILLES In Stock! mam, mm All Remaining New 1998 I 01dniobi]M.lN STOCK! . 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