VOL. XXX. RALEIGH, IV. C, THURSDAY, APRIL 25, 1012. No. IS. a - ANALYSIS OF THE CONTEST BETWEEN TAFT AND ROOSEVELT UP TO DATE Mr. Taft's Campaign jMariager Claims 389 Votes and Col. Roosevelt's Manager Claims 239 Votes New York Herald's Estimate Gives Mr. Taft 381 and Col. Roosevelt 201 Some L'ninstructed Votes. NEEDI540 VOTES TO NOMINATE. ,.,thr Candidate Has Secured a Suf-j i irnt Number of Votes to Secure Nomination States Where the trH Must He Gotten Managers ,,f i:a! Candidate Gives Out In t .rating Statement Colonel Hoo wrlt Must Secure Majority of Del rates Vet to le Selected to Secure Nomination The Caucasian Will Both Sides Each Week. A mi ruber of ours readers have re v,,. ;.?! us to give an analysis of the f,nf-st between Taft and Roosevelt to date, and also to express our ,vs about the possibilities in favor of :u h candidate. This is very dif ficult to do, because the claims by the Taft and the Roosevelt managers are wry wide apart. First, there are a number of con-t-s!-d delegates, and of course no pne can tell the merits of these contests or how they will be decided by the nrional Committee. Each side is claiming that the majority of the Na tional Committee is favorable to them. We believe that up to date no one knows how the National Commit tee stands. Take the case of Mr. Duncan, the member of the National Committee from this State. Does anybody know whore he stands? When he is in Washington he swears eternal loyalty to President Taft; when down here he is mum as an oyster, unless he talks secretly to some of his friends. The number of contested delegates amounts to 160, It is claimed. This teing so. it will place the balance of power, when the convention meets, probably in the hands of the Nation al Committee.. Other Elements of Uncertainty. Another element of uncertainty in the situation is the large number of uninstructed delegates that have been elected up to date. The num ber is not less than 118. It is thought that a majority, if not all of these uninstructed delegates, are for Presi dent Taft, or favorably inclined to him, or are in favor of a third candi date. One thing Is certain, that Sen ator Dixon, Colonel Roosevelt's man ager, has not so far claimed any of these uninstructed delegates; on the other hand, Congressman McKinley, President Taft's manager, is claim ing all of them. Another puzzle in the political sit uation is that Taft's manager claims a solid delegation of twenty from the State of Mississippi; on the other hand, Senator Dixon claims a solid delegation of twenty from Mississippi for Colonel Roosevelt. What the grounds for the claim on each side are nobody knows, but one thing is certain, and that is, that somebody is badly mistaken. These delegates were not instructed. Senator Dixon, Colonel Roosevelt's manager, is claiming that they have up to date 239 delegates. It is de nied by Taft's manager that he has that many. They concede him only 153. In order that our readers may have both sides and judge for them selves as best they can, we have de cided to publish in full the statements and claims just issued by both sides Claims for Colonel Roosevelt. Senator Dixon has just given out from his Washington headquarters the following statement: "The campaign for the nomina tion of the Republican candidate for tne Presidency has now proceeded far enough to render it as certain as any future event can be the nomination of Colonel Roosevelt at Chicago next June. Rpariine's nf th nnlitiral h?rr CD w- w Steter in Renublican States from Maine to Oregon all point unmistak atiy to that result. Therefore to any one who gives even reasonably close attention to the political develop ments of recent days the situation sum be thoroughly clear. It is ap parent to all that the great bulk of me delegates claimed hv th man a?ers of1 Mr. Taft's candidacy come "om southern States, which have no cst an electoral vote for a Republi- VciQ Since the davs ftf roonnctniAfinn Ahe voice of the Republican States f the North has been overwhelming- - ior colonel Roosevelt. "The favor which his candidacy nas received has manifpstart t if not.in any Particular spot.' The vU4auc Loas and the Pacific Coast spoken alike, and the Middle ties nave ioined with ir. Sw a solid delegation of twelve to Colonel Roosevelt, and Oregon Joins with ten. Pennsylvania contributes seventy of her seventy-six delegates to the Roosevelt column at Chicago. Nebraska gives all of her sixteen. Il linois gives fifty-six of her fifty-eight. In Missouri the elections to Congres sional District and State Conven tions have proceeded far enough to show that Colonel Roosevelt will have all but two of the thirty-six delegates to the Chicago convention. "West Virginia Is In line with a solid delegation. North Dakota and Wisconsin are solidly against the Taft candidacy. "These nine States send an aggre gate of 260 delegates to the Republi can National Convention. The most Mr. Taft can hope for from them is ten delegates. His candidacy has States twenty-five to one. From the 1 States which have thus voted so over whelmingly against Mr. Taft's candi dacy, Colonel Roosevelt has 224 dele gates. The Republican voters from these States who must be relied upon to carry the party to victory at the November election have declared in favor of Colonel Roosevelt. Thes? nine States cast 130 votes in the Electoral College. There will be 531 votes In the next Electoral College, making 266 necessary to a choice. States representing practically half of the electoral votes necessary to a Republican victory have declared al most unanimously against the Taft candidacy, and in favor of Colonel Roosevelt's nomination." Claims for President Taft. Congressman McKinley, President Taft's. manager, has i just- given out from his headquarters in Washing ton the following statement: "Despite the hub-bub and the fur ry displayed by the Roosevelt man agers during the week just ended, the campaign developments continued in their calm trend toward the nomina tion of Mr. Taft in June. Exclusive of the Illinois delegates, whose pref erence was determined by the pri maries of a fortnight ago, sixty-six delegates were chosen last week. Of these Senator Cummins received 2, Colonel Roosevelt 30, and President Taft 34. The latter came from Ha waii, Missouri, Kansas, South Caro lina, Connecticutt, and Colorado. Mr. Roosevelt took Nebraska and Oregon and a district each in Michigan and Missouri. ."President Taft now has 389 dele gates, giving him 12 in Pennsylvania. Colonel Roosevelt has 195, Senator La Follette remained stationary at 36, and Senator Cummins has 6, all in his home State. "Iowa, in Its State convention, and Rhode Island, State and districts, will take their stand this week. "President Taft will have at least thirty delegates from Texas on the first and only ballot in the Chicago convention. The Cecil Lyon machine in that State has been smashed to bits, and Lyon himself is now beg ging the Taft men to let him go to the Chicago convention as a dele gate. Unless Lyon can slip himself in as a delegate from some one dis trict or by some trick, he, like Pearl Wight, of Louisiana, will have to vote for Taft at Chicago or stay at home." These statements are so conflicting that no one who has not the inside information which these managers have or ought to have can say how much of these claims on both sides are well founded. However, in this connection, it should be stated that five of the delegates already elected in South Carolina, and instructed for President Taft, have sent telegrams to Senator Dixon declaring that they will vote for Colonel Roosevelt. They say that the sentiment in their State and districts is for Roosevelt, and that they were elected before the Col onel announced his candidacy, and therefore they feel justified in mak ing the change. We publish in an other column these two telegrams. If a number of other Southern dele gates would take the same position it would materially alter the situation. The New York Herald's Poll. In every, campaign, for many years, the New York Herald has kept a poll of the votes of contesting candidates of both sides. So accurate have been the statements made by the Herald in the past that politicians have come to look upon them with considerable confidence. For this reason, and on account of the wide difference in the claims of the managers of the - two sides, we have decided to , give . our readers the benefit of the poll made by th New York Herald and Juil published. Criclel to Taft by .New York Her ald. Instructed for, pledged or favor able to President Taft: Alabama fall but one district).. 22 j Alaska 2 Colorado (delegates at large and one district) 10 j Connecticut (complete) 14 , Delaware 6 District of Columbia 2 Florida (complete) 12; Georgia (all but one district) ... 2 ) Hawaii 6 Illinois (Fifth District) t Indiana (elgkt districts and four j delegates at large) . . . 20 j Iowa (four districts) 8 Kansas (First District) 2; Kentucky (four delegates at large and all but Eleventh and half ' of Fifth District) 23 : Louisiana (delegates at large) ... 61 Michigan (six delegates at large ; and six districts) 18 Mississippi (complete) 20 Missouri (eight districts) 16 Ww Mexico fnarn f, i - y m - - ' - vt . -r 1- it 1 n . l ! ew iurn. uuur ueiegaies at large and 39 1-2 districts) 83 , Oklahoma (one district) 2 , Pennsylvania (four and one-half dstrict8) 9 DMH.n,. ! x iiiiiyiucc .................. . i South Carolina (complete) Tennessee (eight districts) 16 Vermont (four delegates at large and one district) 6 Virginia (complete) 24 .381 Total for President Taft Conceded to Roosevelt by New York Herald. Instructed for, pledged or favor able to Theodore Roosevelt: Illinois (all but Fifth District).. 56 Indiana (four districts) 8 Kentucky (Eleventh District and half of Fifth) 3 Maine (complete) 12 Michigan (two districts) 4 Missouri (five districts) ..... 10 Nebraska 16 New Mexico ( part) v 2 New York (three and a half dis v tricts) 7 Oklahoma (three districts, ten delegates at large) 16 Oregon 10 Ppnnsvlvania (27 1-2 distrirts . . 5? - J - ' - , Vermont (Second District) 2 j 71 Total for Mr. Roosevelt 201 ; - - ' " mu-uiiius, ui l li r at; oiaits. , j reach the scene of disaster, and which: He is already assured of thirty- I It will be seen that the Herald !"escued sev?n hundred of the passen-' four out of thirty-six votes in Mis Uuts down the claim of Congressman "rs and crew who were stiil afloat souri. The primaries in New Hamp- ! Me.. X. a... 4 V. i ..... McKinley from 389 for Taft to 381. and it cut down the claim of Senator Dixon for Roosevelt from 239 to 201.!once subpoena the surviving olF.cers.; The Herald also admits that there are a few uninstructed votes that no one has been able as yet to tell how they would vote. It will be notised that if the Her ald's statements is correct, that it will be necessary for Colonel Roose velt to get 339 more votes to be nom inated, while it will be necessary for President Taft to get only 159 more votes. It will take 540 votes to nom inate States Where Votes Must Be Cot ton. Now, the question arises, where are these votes to come from? In order that our readers may figure this out themselves as best they can, we will give the States and the num - ber of votes in each State that are yet I passing upon contests, most of which to be elected. Some of these States ! Il is nw certain that this Govern- jare from Southern States, have already elected part of their j pent will take prompt acthon in pass-; Demonic Situation, delegates and some have elected ! inS a Iaw prohibiting any vessel from ; none. The number we place opposite 1 touching or sailing from any port of j The contest for the Democratic each State are yet to be elected: ! tne Ua.ted states that is not properly ; nomination for President is assum- f equipped to make the recurrence of (ing a lively and interesting shape. Arkansas 18 j such a disaster impossible. j Speaker Clark is in the lead, with California 20 j In addition to the criminal negli- Professor Wilson following as sec- Idaho 6gence and neglect shown above, itjond. So far Speaker Clark has much Kansas 1Si,qc, , v,w, v.of Maryiana it Massachusetts 32 .Minnesota zz Missouri 10 New Hampshire jeach night and not return to duty un-icratic convention are yet to be elect New Jersey 24 til 7 o'clock the next morning. The led. Therefore, there is stiil great North Carolina 24 Ohio 46 Rhode Island . . 8 South Dakota .- 8 Texas 36 Washington 10 West Virginia 14 Wyoming 6 If our readers will keep this table and check up the votes of each of these States as they are elected from now on, they will be able themselves to keep an accurate check on the progress of the Presidential contest. The Caucasian Will Give Both Sides Eac h Week. In order that our readers may have the latest facts up to date each week, we have decided hereafter to publish the weekly statements making the claims of Senator Dixon for Colonel Roosevelt and of Congressman Jf-V Kinley for President Taft in full. We will also give, in addition to their claims, the tabulated statements of (Continued on page 3.) ROOSEVELT GAINING ; Ou. . ,t He is Showing More Strength in the Race for the Pre- sidency DEMOCRATIC SITUATION More- Light oo the Tltantic !Hater ....... --The Grrat Loa of Life Waa Due to Criminal NVglUetic Conner- sionai loTcMl&aiioit The Senate Directs the I-opcnlng of the To bacco Trut Cae One of the I 31ot Ileniarkable lulls Erer Pre mtel and Iaed by the Senate. (Special to The Caucasian.) Washington, D. C, April 23, 1912. During the past week the horrible disaster in the sinking of the Titanic in mid-ocean, with fifteen hundred souls lost, and the wonderful victories beine- irain hv rvi r-,. i I i oviug gained oy colonel Hoosevelt in . his campaign for the Presidency. have8ure that no Icr can l ncoun , been the overshadowing topics of con-! tered in lhe future o j j vviuu. 1 i KJJ&Z cr k IU 1,1. . m . . . " vumpaign ior ine 1'resiaency, have been the overshadowing topics of con-! ersation. ! 1 T. lore Llht on th Titanic Cta- trophe. . f j It was pointed out by this writer ; w a. icuci iu ie Caucasian last icuer io ine Caucasian last week, written immediately after the! uco ui uie l name 8 catastroDfte. i r a nx t . that the terrible loss of life was dne;,ly. In the meantime, a number of ;io criminal carelessness and neglect, j dlstrlcU In West Virginia have taken Attention was called to the fact thatjaction( and the state Convention of I the Tltanip vae tint eniu.i ttu . . ... . . DU'k,"cu ",l"tiiat State win soon meet. It now i iiie-ooats enough to save more than;seem8 certain that Colonel Roosevelt one-third of the crew and passen-ini nt ujla n,. r th! gers; that the vessel was traveling at a recklessly high speed, in the midst of a known dangerous ice-field, which could have been avoided if the j vessel had taken the southern course ! about two hundred miles to the south. It was further pointed out that the Titanic was not equipped with search lights, which would have enabled the officers on the -bridge and in the crow's nest to have seen the enor mous iceberg in time to have changed iircourse and missed the fatal , col lision. Since that time, all of these glar- ! tag and inexcusable wants of precau- ; tion have been pointed out and com- tnpntort n nnr hv v .. i " " vijvrii u; uic vOO Ul IUC f Q JJJ TIVI country generally. j It is certain lhat Colonel noosevelt Jmmediately upon the landing ofSwiH carry a iarge majority, if not the Camathia. the first 111 uie seuaie appomtea a. ' L'ommlUee to to New ork ad at crew and passengers, and take their . The next State that the politicians .Impositions to ascertain the cause of are looking to with the greatest con the disaster and fix the responsibil-! cern is the State of Massachusetts, ity where it belongs. It is proven I It holds Its primaries on next Satur ;hat the Senate acted wisely in tak- day. That State has thirty-two votes, ing such prompt action, because the land is considered one of the surest surviving officers and crew of the Ti-j States, next to Rhode Island, for tanic had arranged to be shipped ! President Taft. Colonel Roosevelt and back to England the next day in an-j his friends are making a vigorous other boat. They were all, however, fight to carry that State. If Colonel subpoenaed and were brought to j Roosevelt carries it, or any substan Washington and are now being ex-tial part of it, it will be one of the amined thoroughly. j severest blows that President Taft as The investigation has proven prac-jyet has received in this most remark tically every charge made by The j able campaign. Caucasian a week ago, and has shown j The outlook now is that Colonel that these were the chief causes of j Roosevelt will secure enough votea the disaster and the great loss of lifej from these States to secure his nomi- j and property. ! rw tzamnnt Tt. inirm uao aiou V U lS4SU&ui vuv -v t passenger vessels are equipped with i only one wireless operator, and that this ooerator is Dermitted to leave his duties and reUre at out 10 o'clock operator on the Carpathia, which res - cued the survivors of the Titanic, had fortunately stayed up a little later than he was required to do, and was j just preparing to retire when he re ceived the distressed call from the Ti tanic that it had struck an iceberg and that it was going down. If the wireless operator on the Carpathia had retired ten minutes earlier, not a soul on that greatest of ocean liners ever built would have been saved, and to-day and foiever hereafter the details of the honlble disaster would have been unknown to the world. Two Wireless Operators Necessary. It is certain that Congress will pro vide that all vessels hereafter shall carry two competent wireless opera tors, and that one or the other shall be on duty all the time. The investigation has brought out the fact that this Government has never made any effort to regulate the rules governing passenger vessels car rying a foreign flag heretofore. The .;Tita&k uatt-4 a BrttUh fa It ha develeixtl li.! e are afc4rf treaty stipulations miih tlsf'.as J aft 4 other tor Ira coti&trie by hlh me'. ;win lttlr ..j UcLi- ' rule an 3 reralatiosa rtr&ic ait . ! irel are SU-4 by tie Losos U-ar4 lot Trade, aad it hat Junker 4e!sH ed that the Ios4on Hoard ti Trade 5 fixed, forty or fifty year apo. tfc condition and require taenta coter- ' !ltJK aa ocean-User, mbea there waai ' t Tfwl aoM 0fiflh Urc ; the Titanic, and that the rtilea and regulations roTernlcc life boats' and other modern appUa&c for j safety on board ocean vetseU have; not once been changed. This is a most astonishing condl- tlon of affairs, and the whole world; has been startled by the recent dia&a-1 ter, not only aa to such gross neglect j on the part of the steamship ronxpa-j niea but also on the part of the re- sponsible governments. It has alf ready been announced that all ot the! ,Mamg n"ip lines nave astee 1 Dereartr thlT will take the southern course, which will make 1 tered in lhe future i j The iYefldential Cntrt. The IYe.ldential Content. I Following the remarkable victo-I ! ries of Colonel Roosevelt in Illinois and Pennsylvania, the next twoi State8 to act ag to the Hepubiican! , v-i Oregon; both of these State having; i fourteen votes of that State. While, according to the most con servative accounts, even these victo ries don't put Colonel Roosevelt quite even in the running with President Taft, yet it Is realized that these vic tories mean similar victories in most of the States and districts that are yet to act. The other States which have not yet acted, or which have act ed only in part, that is. through one or more Congressional Districts, are Ar kansas, California, Kansas Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, Ww HsTnnshlr Wv JonuY- Nnrth Carolina. Ohio. Rhode Island. South noto toto wocjrt wv. 1 ' ' shire are being held to-day. H Eyes on .MasKachutt. t nation, unless it is prevented by the 1 action of the National Committee In T iav ivUf suu v w ww m w a p a a. a-w would be nominated by the Demo cratic convention at Baltimore. How ever, over two-third of the delegates necessary to nominate at the Demo- i uncertainty as to future develop- ments. The Senate Direct the lie-opening of the Tobacco Trust Case. One of the most remarkable bills j ever presented and passed by the Senate of the United States is one in- troduced by Senator Cummins direct ing the Attorney-General of the Unit ed States to re-open and appeal the Tobacco Trust decision of the United States Supreme Court. It will be remembered that while the Supreme Court held that the American Tobacco Company was a trust in violation of the Sherman anti-trust law, yet the case was re manded to the lower United States Court in the State of New York to execute the decision. The action of the United States Court of New York has been criticised, especially by the independent tobacco concerns of the United States. Following this, the stock of the (Continued on page 3.) TflE WAKE COitYLNTION Federal Officeholders and Tfceir Leaders Tried to Break up Convention ion mtm CISGUCOTL The Ctcttrtti itrt ls tt .laulitar lata Tfee4ar a4 wa tlrgwlar Yfelr!i 13erteS 90 lrirclc to tle Ktte aad IVmcrewalaaval tn e!io Mr. Mrrbmr Al miaUtratloai lladur l4rr Hatter lle-elert rl Ctxmty Oiair tnjL-!U)trr Hold Another Meet ing. The Wake County Repatikan Coa ve&tlon met tn Halricb'a &w audi torium Tuesday soon after the nooa hour. The Convention aa called to ord-r by I-eter F. Hatler. the County Chairman. Mr. F. N. Gallia was call ed upon to met as secretary and Mr. J. J. Hacdea as aaalstant fexretary The ecrtary then called a roll of the townships and voting preelcrta to se if every township was represented. After the credentials from the vari ous precincts had been handed to the tweretary. the roll of townships was called to see if there were any coo testa. During the meantime Meaara. Loge Harris and Charlie Wildes wre continually jumping up to make mo tions which were ruled out of order, but Mr. Harris staid out of order most of the time and showed no re spect to parliamentary rules. Final ly when there was a lull in his talk contests were noted from Panther n ranch, Neuae, St. Matthew's, Second Division of the Third Ward, First Di vision of the First Ward and Bec ond Division of the First Ward. Messrs. Harris and Wildes continued to interrupt the proceedings of the convention. The chair then appoint ed a credential committee consist ing of five members, one from the city and four from the country, who were asked to retire and hear the con tests and make their report to th. convention. A motion waa then made that the convention take a recess for half an hour to give the credential commit tee time to hear contests and make up their report. Thia motion waa car ried. During the recess Mr. Lose Harris approached Chairman Dutler and told him if the chair ruled a cer- i tain way on a certain question that j he and his friends would use fist force ! in that convention. Chairman Butler told Mr. Har ris he v ould make the proper ruling and walked away from Mr. Harris. Mr. Harris knew how the chair would rule because Mr. Harris had been to National Republican Conventions and knew what the customary ruling was on such matters, and it was vory evi dent that Mr. Harris made his threat for the purpose of Intimidating the County Chairman, but his threat did not frighten any one. It was nearly 2:30 before the credential commit tee had finished their work and re turned to the hall. The Chairman called the convenlton to order to fin ish the further business of the con vention. The secretary was ready to read the report of the credential com mittee when Mr. Charlie Wildes an nounced that his ward had been con tested and he had not been heard before the committee. The chair an nounced that there had been plenty cf time In which he could hare been heard, but that the credential com mittee could retire again and hear Mr. Wildes, or any others. If they so desired. The chair stated that he knew the reason the committee was ask ed to retire again was for the par pose of delaying the convention until most of the delegates from the coun try, who were friends of the or ganization would go home, but that he was willing for every one to have a fair hearing and that he would abide by the result of the convention. Mr. E. T. Banks said he wanted ev ery one to have a fair hearing and moved that the committee again re tire and hear Mr. Wildes and others. The committee retired and gave all a full hearing. Mr. A. V. Dockery, who seemed to be in a hilarious rondltlon, had motions or resolutions that he wanted to put before the convention every few minutes. The chair told Mr. Dockery that be was out of or der, but that he would be allowed to make any motion be desired after the report of the credential committee had been received. When the credential - committee made their report they stated that no primary was held in Pansier Branch and, therefore, there could be no rep resentation In the convention from that township. (Mr. Bytham Steph enson, the chairman of that precinct, and others stated that no primary was held, bet that the papers were fixed up elsewhere at a later date.) Neuse was not allowed representation (Continued on page 2.) )

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