Clear, cool
Tomorrow will be clear,
with no chance of rain.
The low last night
reached around 32, and
the high today is
expected to hit 60.
Vote!
Exercise your right to
vote todayl The polls
open at 6:30 a.m. and
will close at 7:30 p.m.
Serving the students and the University community since 1893
Tuesday, November 2, 1976, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
Volume No. 84
Issue No. 49
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WASHINGTON (U PI) Following a presidential
election is something like watching showdown poker.
As the cards are flipped face up one by one, the astute
observer often can see the winning hand early in the
game.
With the public opinion polls agreeing that the
national popular vote is going to be very close,
attention focuses on the electoral votes of the states,
particularly "The Big Five" and "The Decisive Dozen."
The Big Five states and their electoral votes are
California, 45; New York, 41; Pennsylvania, 27; and
Illinois and Texas, 26 each, for a total of 165 105
votes short of the 270 needed to win the presidency.
They are the face cards in tre presidential deck.
The Decisive Dozen are the first five, plus Ohio, 25;
Michigan, 21; Florida and New Jersey, 17 each;
Massachusetts, 14; and Indiana and North Carolina,
13 each, for a total of 285 electoral votes.
That means the first 10 states in electoral ranking
plus either Indiana or North Carolina can decide a
presidential election, providing 272 votes, two more
than needed to win. A candidate could carry the 39
other states and still lose.
The first dozen states have the votes to elect a
president, but they don't have a particularly good
record of doing so. In the last four elections only
Illinois, New Jersey and North Carolina have given
their votes to the winner everv time.
Illinois is just about the best bellwether available.
Except in 1916, it has voted with the winner in every
presidential election in this century.
Ohio has a special talent. It selects Republican
presidents. No GOP candidate in recent history has
won without winning in Ohio.
In 1960, all the Big Five except California backed the
winner. In 1968, only California and Illinois were right.
Only in the landslides of 1964 and 1972 did all of the
Big Five go with the winner.
So much for the face value of the cards. The order in
which they are turned up also is important to election
watchers.
Vote counting is a lot faster than it used to be, but
some states still outdo their neighbors in getting ballots
tabulated.
Connecticut is famous for lightning counts. It has
only eight electoral votes, but students of political
trends say Connecticut's results often are a tipoff. The
Nutmeg State has given its votes to the winner in three
of the four last elections, going for the loser in 1968.
New York City also counts fast. But caution is
necessary. The city is a large chunk of the total, but it
does not outvote the rest of the state. Like Connecticut,
New York state went for the loser in 1968.
New Jersey may be a little longer coming in, but
remember its record four for four starting with 1960.
The same is true of North Carolina in the Eastern time
zone, and it could give a good clue of the way the two
party South may go.
Florida is another big state whose results should be
in relatively early, but it is not regarded as a window on
Dixie.
As the hours pass, start watching for Ohio and
especially Illinois.
There are negative indications to look for. If the
South is going to be solid for favorite-son Jimmy
Carter, the key states are Mississippi and Louisiana.
President Ford hopes to be strong in his home state
of Michigan. If he runs poorly there, the rest of the
industrial Midwest may be in jeopardy.
The farm states are supposed to be the GOP power
center. Watch Missouri: both candidates fought hard
for it.
The West is said to be Ford country. Look at New
Mexico, which has picked winners in every election
since it became a state in 1912. Texas is, of course,
important. West of it, no state but California has more
than nine electoral votes.
By the time the counting reaches the West Coast, the
election could be decided. But if Ford and Carter have
split the Big Five and the Decisive Dozen in the East
and Midwest, California could name the next
president.
If so, make lots of coffee and sandwiches and settle
down for the night. You may see the sun rise before you
know who has won.
Washington, Plains: the scene on election eve
...staff prepares
for victory bash
Oh
by Chuck Alston
Staff Writer
WASHING
TON, Nov. 1
With less than 12
hours until polls in
the Eastern states
open, the ballroom
of the Sheraton
Park Hotel is Un
dergoing drastic
changes.
Crews of work
men are making
preparations for the
Wednesday
morning emergency of President Gerald
R. Ford and his running mate Sen.
Robert J. Dole.
Reams of Ford-Dole posters paper
the 100-yard-long ballroom. A podium,
from which Ford will address the crowd,
fills one end of the hall. The ballroom
will be the site of a marathon 8 p.m. to 5
a.m. election-night party.
The President is scheduled to appear
between 12:30 and 2 a.m. Coming off his
best campaign week since the
Republican Convention in Kansas City,
Mo., Ford has given campaign staffers
at the Sheraton Park and downtown at
the President Ford Committee (PFC).
headquarters an air of new-found
confidence.
But whether the approximately
30,000 invited guests and staffers hear
the President speak of four more years
or of somber thanks for campaign
support depends largely upon Eugene
McCarthy's performance, the weather
or the outcome in the so-called "big
seven" states.
The "big seven" states New Jersey,
Michigan, California, New York, Ohio,
Illinois and Pennsylvania are worth
202 electoral votes. To win, a candidate
must amass 270 electoral votes.
Ford staffers expressed confidence in
the President's ability to win in New
Jersey and California, where the polls
have shown him leading. And they feel
sure that the President can carry his
home state, Michigan.
The others, they admit, could go
either way. If Eugene McCarthy is able
to capture any support in Illinois, the
feeling is that it will go for the President.
One staffer said his fingers were
crossed in .the hop that it might rain in
several of the major electoral states. The
general concern is that a large turnout
will favor the Carter-Mondale ticket.
The National Weather Service
forecast calls for sunny skies and mild
temperatures across most of the nation
Tuesday.
The President wrapped up a 15,000
mile transcontinental barnstorming
campaign trip Monday in Michigan
while the television networks aired
election-eve media blitzes aimed at
swaying the large number of undecided
voters. Ford will spend the night in
Grand Rapids, his hometown, vote
Tuesday morning, and return to
Washington mid-day Tuesday.
According to a PFC aide at the
Sheraton Park the President's ace-in-the-hole
will reveal itself today at the
polls. That ace-in-the hole, he added, is
his incumbency.
"People know where the President
stands on the issues and don't feel that
they are taking a risk in voting for him as
they might be in voting for Carter," he
said.
Pablo Martinez, a 16-year-old Ford
volunteer summed up his feelings:
"Tomorrow night at 8 o'clock, it is all
over for me. I'll no longer be working on
the campaign. I'm gonna go to the
party."
...a hamlet waits
on favorite son
by Dan Fesperman
Features Editor
PLAINS, Ga., Nov.
1 Ever since the Jim
my Carter campaign
got rolling in the
primaries last winter
this town has become
the next of kin to the
national media.
-.Everything ... fronx
church services to
lemonade transac
tions has been written
about, filmed, discuss
ed and rehashed for
consumption by the
American public.
Today the media prepared for its
heaviest bombardment of Plains yet
election day coverage.
Along with hundreds of media
people, there were also several tourists
and dozens of Carter groupies who
wandered in from as far away as Ohio
and California.
Together they formed a crowd of
gawking, open-mouthed curiosity
seekers, for which the commercially
alert townspeople were more than
ready.
There were Carter stickers, posters,
peanuts, T-shirts, peanut sacks, mugs,
calendars, bowls, bracelets,
pocketbooks and Carter, Carter,
CARTER.
Other than the commercial interests
there was clearly a personal interest in
Jimmy, the hometown boy who made
good in politics. But almost everyone
here, with the exception of the Carters
themselves, probably won't be too
crushed if Jimmy loses, and most people
were their business-as-usual selves.
Mrs. C.L. Walters, who runs a small
grocery store on the main street with her
husband, said, "Of course, we're all
expecting him to win, but if he doesn't,
we'll just take it in stride."
"We haven't really thought about
losing yet." But I believe in guidance
from above, and if he doesn't win, there
must be some purpose."
No one seemed to be too concerned
either with the episode Sunday at the
Plains Baptist Church. Services had
been called off after four blacks were
barred from attending. .
About this, Walters only said, "Well,
every town has its ups and downs, but
we seem to always come out okay."
Most other people in town were equally '
unexcited about both the Sunday
incidents and the prospect that Carter
might fail.
"Yes it would be nice if he won," said
Gail Griggs, a woman in her early 20s.
"Even if he loses, at least he tried. We've
just done everything we can for him.
"But I don't think the town has really
changed except for the people from out-of-town
coming in. Things will probably
always be about the same here."
Two other men were even less
concerned about the election. One was
missing several fingers from both hands,
and the other had only one eye.
Obviously drunk, both were pitiful to
look at. "I don't give a damn," one said.
"Just give me a dollar."
The only person in town closely
connected with the family was Allie
Smith, Rosalynn Carter's mother. She
spent the day mingling with tourists and
sitting around campaign headquarters.
Jimmy and everyone else were expected
home late tonight. He is scheduled to .
vote at 7:05 a.m. Tuesday, next door to
the Kountry Korner Kitchen on Route
280.
After a day at home, the Carter family
will leave for Atlanta Tuesday evening
where they will " await the election
returns.
Too close to call'
Precinct
f,.2sont Farm
Country Club
Greenwood
East Frcnklin
Ccmm unity Church
Furefoy Rc-d
VccHcrt Gym
UNC Gsnerst
Adn.Ir.Jjtrjtt:on CSdj.,
nSh Hd. fit 15-SQ1
Luthsrcn Ch., E.
Oossmsry Ct.
Cstite Park
Glsnwood
Estss Hi:i3
Hcrtftslds
Colon!! Heights
Lincoln
Westwood
North Carrboro
South Csrrbcro
University Leke
Coker Hills
Put"c Lfcrsry
E. Franklin St ,
C!r.':f3y Churcfi
Cphcu3 Hd. Cchscl
Gbnvvood School
Guy D. FhSIIIps
Jr. Hl-n School
Umstsad Rsc. Center
Umstssd Drive
Lincoln School 1
F.'rritt IVM U
Frcnk Portsr
Grshsm School
Grey Cu!trcth Sch,
Csrrboro School
Carrboro Town HzW
-Vetar Plntf.
Jones Ferry Rd.
ElUotRd.
Firs Stolen
Jsmss, Crstsf Odum
VKIss, Spring Garden
Lorri:onf Ehringheus
Psrker, Tesgue, Avery
Upper end Lower Guedf
Cctb, Joynsr, Connor,
Winston, Alexander,
Cerr
Aidsrmsn, Kenen, Mciver,
Old Eest, Old West,
Vestc!!, Spencer,
Tov.Tis Houss, Crookside,
Ccioniei Arms, Ock
Terrsce, ft'orthempton,
University
Ccmclot, Shepherd Ln.,
Villese Green, Drookwood
Town Terrsce
Vi,"ovy Terrece, Colony
Oxford, Kings Arms,
CestlUlsri Villa,
Foxcrcft, Cocker Creek,
G'en Lennox, Golf Course
Fraternities, The Oeks
Strstford Hllis
University Gerden, Chalet
Cci;nvood, Sharon
Hel-hts, VJSiege West,
Eikin h:::s
Granville Towers
Vhllshszd, CI3 end Little
Frsismity Ccurts .
KJnsswood, Leu re!
Ridge, (nchuco 1
Th3 vniss
Estss Perk, Sue Ann Courts
Ceder Court, Pine
Knoll, Lebet
Chst3eu, Perk
West, Dsrkchlre Lienor,
Fidelity Court,
f:3rthcmptcn West
Carolina, Old Well,
Yum-Yum, Royel Perk,
Ridsewood, Rocky Drcok
Inchuco il
BSM settles for Chase
ifUniversi
ty apologizes
by Laura Seism
Staff Writer
The Black Student Movement, (BSM)
general body has voted to accept second
floor space in Chase Hall provided the
University Space Committee issues a written
apology for failing to involve BSM members
in the decision to reallocate space in Chase.
The second-floor space was offered the
BSM by Dean of Student Affairs Donald
Boulton, whose office was allocated
approximately 5,400 square feet on the
second floor of Chase.
Space Committee members were
informed of the BSM's decision by letters
mailed late last week.
BSM members lost their first-floor space
when the Space Committee allocated the
entire first floor of Chase to Servomation,
Inc., including the BSM's 2,000-square-foot
Upendo Lounge.
Second floor space was allocated to the
Health Sciences Research Center, the
Institute of Speech and Hearing and the
University personnel department, in
addition to the student affairs office.
The Space Committee reconsidered its
decision at the request of Chancellor N.
Ferebee Taylor but affirmed the earlier
decision after a review fo the architectural
plans for the first and second floor of Chase.
BSM Chairperson Jackie Lucas said the
BSM asked for the apology because no
administration officials had admitted
publicly the BSM had been wronged.
"We felt we had to have somebody say,
Hey, the BSM is not just raising a lot of
noise, " Lucas said. "We wanted the public
to see that we have had a legitimate reason
for doing what we did."
She said the BSM members had
considered the possibility that they could
lose the approximately 2,000 square feet of
space Boulton has promised them, but they
"felt the principle was very important.
"One of the reasons we decided to stage
any type of movement in the first place was
that we had no say in the decision," Lucas
said.
The four students who would represent
the BSM on a committee to plan the use of
the rest of the student affairs office's space
will not attend meetings of that committee
until a written apology is received.
Claiborne Jones, chairperson of the Space
Committee, said he had received the BSM
letter, but he would not make any
predictions as to1 how the Space Committee
will respond. He said he would call a meeting
of the committee when the members were
ready to discuss the letter.
UNC poll promises photo-finish
mmwmmm.
Staff photo by Allen Jernigan
The day shift
Steve Ellis, Jeff Yancey. Chris Fuller and Sy Berger bring the APO-Ehringhaus
Swing-a-thon close to the one-third point Monday in their planned 240-hour swing
for charity.
by David Stacks
Staff Writer
Democratic presidential nominee Jimmy Carter polled 46.3
per cent and President Ford 42.2 per cent in a presidential
preference survey taken last week at UNC.
"On campus, it's too close to call," said Assoc. Prof. Ronald
W. Helms, whose Biostatistics 266 class conducted the survey.
The same survey showed students in favor of the Equal
Rights Amendment (ERA), a federal job guarantee program
and national health insurance. The poll also indicated student
opposition to a constitutional amendment restricting
abortions.
"We have a very liberal student body, yet they are not
voting for Carter," Helms said.
Approximately 46 per cent tended to favor the ERA, while
14 per cent were opposed. Neutral students numbered 39 per
cent.
Approximately 56 per cent were opposed to a constitutional
amendment restricting abortions, while 10 per cent tended to
favor such a law and 21 per cent were not sure.
A comparison of male and female attitudes on the
antiabortion issue showed no difference attributable to sex.
Seventy-nine per cent of the females and 75 per cent of the
males were opposed.
A tederal job guarantee program drew 34 per cent in favor
and 1 5 per cent opposed. Fifty per cent said they were not sure.
National health insurance advocates numbered 38 per cent,
opponents 15 per cent, with 44 per cent stating no preference.
Most students said they had greater confidence in President
Ford's ability to conduct foreign policy and to budget military
spending than in the ability of Jimmy Carter.
On a low-to-high scale of one to seven, Ford averaged 4.6 in
foreign policy and 4.4 in military spending. Carter's average
was 3.8 in foreign policy and 3.9 in military spending.
The survey was taken in seven randomly selected classes.
Helms said the margin for error in such polls is 3 per cent.
The seven classes surveyed were Anthropology 26, Dental
Hygiene 1 1, Economics 140, English 22, Health Education 33,
History 11 and Parasitism and Human Disease 134.
Of the 287 students polled, 10 per cent were freshmen, 20
per cent were sophomores, 24 per cent were juniors, 37 per
cent were seniors and 7 per cent were graduate students.
From the seven classes surveyed, 56 per cent said they were
registered Democrats, 18 per cent registered Republicans, 8
per cent independents and 16 per cent were not registered to
vote.
Women taking part in the poll outnumbered men 54 per
cent to 4 1 per cent. White students outnumbered blacks 84 per
cent to 1 1 per cent.