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2The Daily Tar Heel Wednesday, January 28, 1987 OBmldeirs brace for Ihonnsiinig stamp By CLAY THORP Staff Writer The National Association of ; Homebuilders is predicting a decline ;in home building for 1987. Robert Villanueva, director of forecasting for the organization, said there will be an 11.5 percent drop in housing starts in the upcoming year. Most of this decline will come from the forecasted 28 percent drop in multi-family apartment and con dominium housing. A major part of the drop stems from a new tax law that gives less of a tax break to builders. and return of rental properties along with high rental vacancies tend to limit multi-family construction," Villanueva said. On the other hand, Stanley Black, ;chairman,othe UNC department of ; economics, said, "1 dont think the tax law will be that negative." Black said that while the law will take away from the construction of multi-family housing, it will add to single-family housing by giving more benefits to that group of people. The forecast for single-family housing starts does show a slight increase for 1987. In North Carolina, the case is very similar, said Michael Stegman, chairman of the UNC department of city and regional planning. "The multi-family markets in the Triangle and major metropolitan areas of the state are somewhat overbuilt," Stegman said. "This is due to declining interest rates, the end of important tax preferences due to tax reform and continuing optim ism about economic growth. These things have encouraged lenders and investors to commit their capital to multi-family projects in those areas." In rental housing, there is a 12 percent vacancy rate as opposed to a 3 percent to 4 percent rate 14 rnonths ago, Stegman said. "There is a two-year supply of vacancy to be absorbed before (rates are back to normal)." Another reason for the decline in housing starts lies in the area of demographics, said John. Kasarda, chairman of the sociology department. Kasarda said that the members of the baby boom are growing out of the multi-family stage into the single family stage. At the same time, the baby bust members (a considerably smaller group born just after the baby boom) are growing into the multi-family stage. Regardless of the forecast, the experts agree that a strong economy will mean a strong home building industry. A possible recession next year could be very detrimental to the home building industry, as was the 1980-81 recession when interest rates soared and housing starts plummeted. The decline in home . building is most severe in the "oil patch" states such as Texas and Oklahoma, Villanueava said. In Dallas, the effects of the tax law and vacancies are so severe that there has been a 3 percent drop in prices in the multi-family market, Stegman said. Villanueva said that most price increases can be found in the Nor theast. These increases are due mostly to the rising land value in states like New York. . North Carolina probably Will not see any significant price changes except for competition-based incen tives for tenants in rentals. Health gromps put heat dm tobacco ads ; By SHARON KEBSCHULL 'Staff Writer ; Three health organizations have ; renewed their fight to ban smoking ;on public transportation, eliminate ; price supports for tobacco, ban ; cigarette advertising in the print ; media and double the excise tax on cigarettes through the 100th Congress. The Coalition on Smoking, com posed of the American Cancer Society, American Lung Association and the American Heart Associa tion, is lobbying Congress to create legislation at the federal level. : Rep. Mike Synar, D-Okla., intro duced a bill to ban cigarette adver tising in the print media. Although the bill did not gain committee approval, it brought attention to the issue, and Synar will introduce the bill again this February, said legis lative assistant John Hollar. The ban on print advertising includes newspapers, magazines and billboards, said Tom Ryan, public issues assistant for the American Cancer Society. The Coalition on Smoking is working to keep cigarettes from teenagers, mostly by increasing the federal tax from 16 to 32 cents, said Director Matt Meyers. He said the revenues from the increase are needed, and would help increase the protection for non-smokers. According to Meyers, 60 percent of smokers start at age 14 or younger, and the tax would hit them hardest. "It won't have an effect on the really heavy smokers who have money to throw away . . . but it will lower health costs in the country in the long run," said Kerne Wilson, a legislative representative for the American Cancer Society. The ACS is also working to limit smoking to designated areas in all federal buildings. The buildings under the General Services Admin istration have limits on smoking, but that is only a third of all federal buildings, Wilson said. "That doesn't go far enough as far as we're concerned ... as the dangers to passive smokers have been proven to be real," Wilson said. Synar's bill is expected to go through this year, Hollar said. Since the Supreme Court ruled in the Posadas case that Congress can ban the advertising of something without making that product illegal, there should be no problems with consti tutionality, he said. "(Synar) believes very strongly in the advertising issue . . . that young people are especially sensitive," Hollar said. Rep. Charlie Rose, D-N.C, has helped in the fight against cigarette legislation. As chairman of the Tobacco and Peanuts House Sub committee, he has "fought every effort" to cut off price supports and double the excise tax, said Heidi M. Pender, agricultural counsel to Rose. INTRODUCING CHECKERS PIZZA ;NOW OFFERING THE PICK UP SPECIAL Any Large Pizza For Price of Medium 967-3636 ACROSS FROM FOWLER'S NEXT TO SOAP'S Expires 13187 tow Abroad Throuqh yracu se uniersityo g Want To Learn More? Timo: Wednesday, January 28 1 1:00arn Placo: Study Abroad Reading Room (Basement of Caldwe!!) Margaret Stand, Assistant Director, vill be on ccmpus to meet with interested students. For further information, contact the Study Abroad Reading Room 962-7001 SYRACUSE UNIVERSITY DIVISION OF INTERNATIONAL PROGRAMS ABROAD 119 Euclid Avenue Syracuse, New York 13244-4170 (315) 423-3471 The excise tax increase also worries Rose, Pender , said. He represents small farmers, and they are the ones who are hurt by the tax, she said, adding that this is the argument manufacturers use. "The Coalition's real fight is not with the farmers; they've told us that time and time again," Pender said. She said they are more interested in fighting the advertising and the larger industry. On the issue of advertising, Rose is-concerned about the constitution ality of a ban, Pender said. "Restriction is different, but to talk about an (advertising) ban when a product isn't banned is an issue . . . without a ban on a product or the growth of a product, are they trying to chop off one leg, then head for the other? 'What is the agenda here is I think one of (Rose's) concerns." Both Sen. Terry Sanford and Rep. David Price, D-N.C, are looking into the issues now and waiting for them to come to the floor, their press secretaries said. While Price doesn't want to interfere with the medical profession, he is concerned about economic stablity in North Carolina, and in this he stands with the state delegation, said press secretary Jim Jordan. Sen. Jesse Helms' office could not be reached for comment. Aquino regime puts down coup by Marcos supporters From Associated Press reports MANILA, Philippines Government troops and suppor ters of Ferdinand Marcos clashed outside a walled television station where soldiers held out Tuesday after President Corazon Aquino announced she crushed their revolt. The coup attempt was the most serious effort by disgruntled soldiers to grab power since Aquino became president in February. Defense Minister Rafael Iletd said 271 conspirators had been arrested and at least 70 remained at large. U.S. stopped talks with Iran WASHINGTON Secretary of State George P. Schultz told Congress Tuesday that Reagan administration stopped talking to Iran about U.S. arms after a meeting last month in West Germany, but that it had other ways to discuss mutual interests in containing Soviet expansion. Schultz testified that the Dec. 13 session in Frankfurt was authorized by President Reagan to underscore to Tehran "that any Meiers in Drjof thought on their part that there were going to be further sales of arms was wrong." He assured the Senate Foreign Relations Committee at an open hearing that there was no longer "any contact in that channel." But, Schultz said, there are other points of contact, including a tribunal in The Hague, Netherlands. Gorbachev wants new leaders MOSCOW Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, striking at the heart of the Kremlin power structure, suggested Tuesday that the nation needed a system for replacing aging members of the leadership with "fresh forces." Gorbachev called for multiple candidate elections to regional party josts and suggested a review of the parliamentary procedure. He also proposed new reform laws, including legislation allow ing people to sue the government and to give the state-run media guaranteed access to officials. Moments off silence to recall Challenger From Associated Press reports National Aeronautics and Space Administration workers will observe 73 seconds of silence, schoolchildren will launch a small rocket, and a statue made partly from donated pennies will be dedicated today as Americans recall the Challenger disaster one year ago. . Relatives of the seven shuttle astronauts will mark the sad anni versary by joining in public memor ial services or grieving privately. But the family of Ellison S. Onizuka plans a happier observance on Saturday, gathering in Houston for a Hawaiian-style luau. "We promised Ellison a luau when he got back, with some of" his friends, and the luau never occurred," his younger brother Claude Onizuka Issues said. "So we made a promise to the NASA people that on the one year anniversary we'd come back and put that luau back on." Some ceremonies were scheduled to coincide with the time on Jan. 28, 1986, that Challenger lifted off from launch pad 39B. . Just 73 seconds later, the shuttle exploded, killing mission com mander Francis Scobee, pilot Michael J. Smith, teacher Christa McAuliffe and crew members Greg ory Jarvis, Judith Resnik, Ronald McNair and Onizuka. Many observances are scheduled in schools, since children across the country, planning to take part in McAuliffe's lessons from space, watched the tragedy on television. from page 1 president talked about how to get', more seniors' to participate in class , activities. .;.,... Durral Gilbert said he and James Freeman felt they should enhance AMERICAN V? CANCER SOCIETY present senior activities and make ' more activities available to the class. "If you're a part of the class, you feel better about your senior year," he said. "Choice" is the key word for seniors, Scott Rankin said. "It's important for seniors to choose what activities they want to participate in," he said. To ensure students have a choice, Rankin proposed sending out a questionnaire asking seniors what kind of "activities' they would like to have. Anne Davidson and Dave Brown want students to have a say in what's going on, Davidson said. To do this. Brown said they would hold sugges tion contests and referendums to get class input into areas like the class gift. Staff writer Justin McGuire con tributed to this storv. r 03) IDS BOMAV4 '-MaoW Quo w$tSp BmM IK - ii V i fY.'s.-vs. Y M fx WJ JL And 1 have good reason to believe it. Over the last ten years. ' I've seen millions of people from many races, cultures and tongues respond to the life-changing message of Christ through the ministry of Christian music. Are you a singer or an instrumentalist with a call to missions and a commitment to excellence in your life? IX) you desire to use your musical and technical skills to share the love of Christ with a hurting world? If s;, read on. CELEBRANT SINGERS, an inter denominational Spirit -filled music ministry, has immediate openings for short- term (summer) team memlx-.v As a CELEBRANT, unique ministry r . tunitics j re open to you across " America . nd around the world CELEBRANT SLNGERS is musical excellence . . . ten singer with a twelve-piece orchestra . . . praise and worship . . . UMiyiViJM " ' ' 4 tlf international missions ministry . . . prayer . . . personal counseling ... not "just another music group" a team of spiritual workers w ho know the call of God and mean business with the gospel. From Calcutta's bustee slums, to war-torn Iran and Northern Ireland, throughout Europe, troubled Central America', the Caribbean, and across North America, we've seen thousands of lives forever changed by the gospel of Christ. Now we're "enlarging our tent" adding rnore workers to reap a ready harvest. For more information on how you can be involved in a summer ministry experience that will change your life, call toll free ILS. (800) 32 1-2500. CA (800) .Vi4-2500, CANADA (209) 62"'-4000. or write todav! 1 uuireacn 01 aione Ministries, inc. v dee box 1416 Visalia. CA 93279 (209) 627-4000 ' Immediate short-term and tinted runtime openings lor vocal's, brass, woodwinds, strings, rtiythm '-chrnc ns. and signers lor the hearing moaned on teams ministenng throughout the U S Iceland. Eastern Europe, and Latm Amenta Auditions on Campus Tomorrow!! Wed, Dec 10 from 1:30-4:30 p.m. . Come visit a short film free information University Hall, Room 101
Daily Tar Heel (Chapel Hill, N.C.)
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