franUmrfer Grave Political Problem in Ahhexation-WiBelMm Kaiser's Chief Motive Was the Crushing of Enem yArmies, Not tne L.onquest ot a. paper Declares. (Special Dispatch.) , Berlin, Saturday". The question of the retention' or the -surT render of Belgium when peace Is arranged is one upon whioh . German opinion is divided more sharply than upon . any, other involved in the "war aims" problem. It is the pivot uporwhich revolves the em bittered controversy between the annex ationists and their opponents. For Ger many, as distinguished from her Austrian ally. it overshadows the same question in relation to Poland, Courland and the other occupied Russian territories. But properly to understand the German attitude one needs to realize that no-German contemplates the possibility of the German armies being driven out, of Bel gium by force of arm?. Only as an act of grace, or at least as an act of policy, is the ultimate withdrawal from that land discussed, even by the most vigorous ad vocates of retirement. '?' Among these is the liberal Frankfurter Zeitung, which devotes a sober and close- iv reasoned article of three columns to an4 examination of the supposed value of Bel gium to the Germans as a base of 'future military operations, mainly, -of course, against England. ,; ' ; - Question of Belgium's Value. Is it," says the Journal, Militarily considered verily so vital for Germany's safety that our army and our fleet should permanently retain a foothold h Belgium? Can it be that, during the forty years of Germany's gigantic growth, .in wealth, in world power, in industry :and commerce, this vital condition has been overlooked?. All this wenton-without Belgium. The present world war would equally, have gone in our favor even haft wenotTat"the beginning, conquered Belgium. Previous to August 1, 1914, no rational German be lieved the possession of this country was a fundamental postulation of our future. Even our strategists were divided as v to whether, in a two-front war, our best chance lay in the west or in the east. Is everything now changed? "Admitted that the march through Bel gium was deemed to offer the only chance by swiftly overwhelming French resist ance, the chief ; motive! nevertheless, re mained the crushing of the 'enemy armies, not the conquest of a foreign State. - Tet the present demand for; its retention gives color to the charge 'of the Belgian cam paign having all along been designed with the Object of ultimate annexation. With the development of the war the -"possession of the Flanders coast grew-eyer clearer in value.'tor Jh,e Germans and in any future, war; it'js afactowhich.must. inevitably ,jter this 4alue iia its , limits. ; WiaV.arertIi033 limitf?-- ' . . v. : V" ... -The article, proceeds, argue that never again can the Germans expect .to find the Franco-Belgian frontier, as .exposed as was the case in 1914; from the sea to the corner of Luxemburg will stretch a-girdle similar to the Verdun-Belfort ' line, "which has proved itself impenetrable!"- (A note worthy admission).;- ''This would neutral ize the chief advantage conferred in this war by the holding of Belgium; any at- Aircraft Are Big Factors in Defeat of U-Boat Drive Seaplanes Fight Submarines,' Detect Mines and Rescue Seamen. r (Special Dispatch.) Loudon, Saturday. As every one knows, , aircraft are used for many purposes in this war, that mostGerman seaplanes familiar to the public being the direc tion of artillery fire at the front," writes a special correspondent in the Daily Tele graph. "This is one of the ways in which aircraft preserves human life, but far more extensive in its consequences Is the use of aircraft at sea to protect' us from the submarine menace. Had it not been for the co-operation of our aircraft the anti-submarine campaign iwould have been far less effective, the people - of Great Britain and certain of her allies -would have been faced ',with Btiffer . rations, and the Central Powers would have been un duly elated. : ' . "J "Here are a few figures relating to the work whichv naval, aircraft performed during the month of September, 1917. The total distance covered by the patrols was 170,000 miles, of wduch 90,000 miles was cov ered by seaplanes and 80,000 miles by air ships. On seven, occasions ships. which were being "attacked by submarines sent SOS signals, "Which brought seaplanes to their assistance -in time to save , them by compelling the submarines to dive. Several hundreds of ships were convoyed. Speed a Big Advantage. "Unfortunately the S .number,, of ,sub marines attacked and destroyed by our aircraft cannot be published, but a. few words may be said as to the; method of attack. When a destroyer sights a sub marine some five or six miles, away, he goes full speed to the ' attack-at ; about thirty miles an hour, so thaTt the-' sub-. marine has ten minutes or so -in -wmcn to dive beyond the reach of the destroyer's depth charges. - . "But when a" seaplane sights a sub marine at the same distance he-flies to the attack at anything from eighty -to one hundred miles an hour, soi thafthe -sub marine has only three or' four, minutes be fore bombs begin ltd. fail I . around' hermit must , not be assumed Jlowever, that v de- oi-royers nave been superseded by the ea Pjanes as the enemy 'of submarines. J On the contrary, the two very often work to- '-t-ner, and their, co-operation usually spells disaster to the U-boat. "The stories of these fights, which are t-oreign State, News- A" tempted outflanking of the French7posiV tion would be precluded; a 'break through' would remain the only tactical resource eyen as is now jthe case.. So much for the offensive' campaign: the -contingency of the 'defensive has also to- be taken into account. . . ' -: "Aa a radicair-mmtaryjsolutioji of the problem, the annexation of Belgium, would provide Germany;, with a deeper defensive zone, to the unquestioned benefit of the Khenish industrial di3trict.U On the other hand, attack by the western Powera upon a German Belgium would involve ho viola tion of neutrality sueh as' the Germans had to commit iii 1914. Therefore it would suf fice for-the terms of peace to providethat those Powers at least should find no 'neu tral Belgium army or fortresses to aid them. Granted this condition, it cannot be contended that the; annexation or the lasting" military 'occupation of 'Belgium would add to the security of the German western frontier. . - . :. . ' . Effect on Holland. "The effect of annexation upon Holland must not be left, out of the reckoning. Dutch neutrality, says the writer, was at least until England imposed her stricter economic control upon that State more ValuabM -to Germany than would have been, her active participation upon the German side. Another admission to be rioted. Exposure to attack through Hol land would considerably have added to the burden of German defence. Still worse wouldbe the contingency of attack by a Holland forced into alliance with Ihe western Powers. The permanent German occupation, of Belgium, it cannot be ddubted, woulL not be a matter of in difference to the Dutch. The excellent political relations between Germany and Holland would thereby be gravely im perilleda disadvantage which would in nowise be counterbalanced by Germany's strategic preponderance and 'for Europe would be created a new hotbed of future conflict.' " , The writer of the article places no ex aggerated estimate upon the naval value to Germany of the Flanders' coast. "It is argued," he said, "that our strategic po sition in a future war indeed our entire position as a world Power would funda mentally be changed in our favor by the possession of this coast." "But' he goes on, "from Ostend and Zeebrugge a German fleet could hope at most to control the eastern outlet of the Qhannel, or, even supposing the Anglo-French line of com munication could be forced further west than that of Calais-Dover, a Channel tun nel would speedily create a new situation. Even the present undoubted, value of the Flemish bases' for the U-boat campaign will be greatly discounted by the Ocean going submarine cruisers of the near fu ture, which will be able quite well to op erate from. Wilhetmshaven. All that is written about, "freedpm of the seas' and rorid power as an argument for our re tention of Flanders is but a tissue ' of seemingly patriotic, but in . reality cheap and. dangerous, catch phrases. With our 'freedfcm of economic expansion the pos session of -Belgium lias nothing to do." '-, y- ; I Political Problem. ? c "The problem is, after all," the article says, "of a political nature. We must not! chase a phantom. Apart from the ques-: tion whether our power would suffice to hold Belgium in perpetuity, we have to ask ourselves whether the political objec tions, even the dangers, which would ac crue from the suppression of the Belgian people are not so grave and. so determin ing as to outweigh the problematical mili tary advantages. Are these' advantages worth the prolongation of the war?" It is not to be expected, of course, that these arguments will weigh with the rabid war party in Germany. At the same time the views of so influential a Journal as me jjranitiurxer zeitung can naraly re main unheeded by the more moderate sec tion of German public opinion. - going on' daily between seaplanes and submarines, would make a thrilling epic. Here is one which happened recently. A seaplane sighted a German submarine on the surface, flew directly over her be fore she had a chance to dive, and dropped a bomb on her " tail which was seen to make a large hole in the deck. Imme diately afterwards the seaplane pilo saw through the-'mist three more German sub marine vin iine abreast," followed by three German, destroyers, . and escorted by two All six vessels rired theirl anti-aircraft guns at our seaplane, but the German seaplanes did not attack because they could not get through the barrage put up by the fire of their own destroyers. Calls British War Ships. "Our seaplane turned, dropped anothe bomb on the wounded submarine, saw her sink amidst a pool of oil, in -which frag ments of her floated, and then retired gracefully from an unequal contest, at the same time sending a" wireless message as to where three of the. enemy's destroyers were to be founcL - .. This incessant '.and -ruthless warfare against the TJ-boat by. naval aircraft has been one of the main factors in deieatmg Germany's- aims and in : saving the people of this country from the starvation wnicn Germany has tnea to jninct upon mem But our seaplanes save life in other ways As already, mentioned,: -their mere pres ence has many-' times 'saved a merchant ship when a submarine has been attacking it. - Moreover; wnen tne tragedy nas act ually occurred, and--the torpedo haa,founa its mark, iit- is the seaplane which is the first to see the smpwrecKea crews in ineirt boats, to" send ' wireless messages xor as sistance and to direct the; rescuers to xne right spot- . .. y - "It is the seaplane and tne otner a.ircran which first sight the deadly mine, and so help the mine sweepers in their task. In a word, it isthe naval aircrait wnicn hob been, and 'is, saving the lives not only of those who traverse fhe seas but of every. man woman and child In the Britlsn isies, who otherwise would be threatened with starvation. The strike at Coventry aireaay has been a serious blowVto the Empire! a repetition there or elsewhere would bej a disaster, which cannot A be contemplated, for the conseauences would be'.so far- reaching that no one. could properly est! mate' them. . . .. . . - "Without, constant stream or new air craft to replace the inevitable heavy wast age in machines the struggle against;vthe German submarines" will be prolonged, food becorne diarer, and last, but not least, the lives of our sailor3 exposed- and in many cases needlessly' lost. This is a war necessitating complete' co-operation of the whole of the British Empire, and in; the event of lack of aircraft the eyes of the navywill grow dim." , - - - V FRENCH - .!r3&3a- v j I To persons who have beln pictured above in No. l is a familiar one.' British troops are shown moving from the front or to the front or from one front to another we are. not permitted to say which. Great.enthusiasm-marked the arrival of British and: French troops in the northern towns, of Jtaly, the soldiers of both nations being welcomed with' equal warmth by the Italians. The above photograph (No. 2) shows a regiment of French soldiers marching through Brescia. Women "Waacs" Study Ordnance Stores . - : - , : ! Master Telegraphic Gbdes and Win Distinctive Blue and White Armlets. (Special Dispatch.) London, Saturday. The following, on the work of British women at the front, appeared in a recent Issue of the Daily Telegraph from a cor respondent "at the base in France": Now every Signaller was a very fine Waac, And a very, fine Waac was she e- Happy, happy shall we be. There's none so fair as can compare With the W.A.A.C. j jjlhere Is a considerable amount ofevrnusl- Aatt talent and an abounding sense or itrn among the girls who are so cheerfully fulfilling the tasks they have taken up This you judge whenever iyou attend one of their - parties. The lines quoted are from some pafter vef ses, jonV the plan of "Old King Cole," in which Unit Admin istrators, Area Controllers and Captain! of Army Signallers of a particular corps came in for good humored banter by name The whole corps always speaks of its members as "Waacs," and unless a stand ard dictionary of the future gravely ad mits the word and. its origin to its columns "there will be trouble for the students yet to be of the war. Signallers, it mayf be said, , are an important section of - this new "arm, and they are especially proud thathey are allowed to weaJr the . blue and .white jarmlet that, under thejKing's Regtrlatibns,:. is distinctive of the tele graphid' jservice. ' x ?At.one base, through which messages of Jsupreme impor tance are constantly pass tag, the i women are prohounced to be doing excellent "work. All have had . the . full training of the post office and are experts with the Wheatslone automatic system. But some specialized training has been necessary, v for certain codes have been adoptedVand absolute accuracy is essential when single letters or figures are invested with weighty significance and the smallest error might have the gravest results. Very efficient, too, is the telephone service, em ploying, as at home, a number .of highly trained young women. Scotland it. -may be' said has furnished a large proportion of the girls carrying out these , responsi bilities. . , . S.;."ih:'A:'- .v " .,''A ' Tfew tVocabulary . - : This question ; of vcodes.' and Tletters 'and figures constitutes a bigger difficulty, than the outsiders would imagine.:-When a staff TRODPS IN STREETS OF permitted to visit the. villages near Officer escorted our party through a great depot of the Ordnance Department it was quickly realized that these women- have to acquire what is literally a new vocabu lary to them. ,Nqw, no shop in the world contains the variety of items., and parts and sections that thte arm of the service brings together and issues. Its very mag nitude in the earlier days even of the war led to the adoption of a code of letters and figures to denote its division, at least, where thousands of requisitions pour in daily.- Thanks to this method it became possible to utilize the help of French women long before the possibility of se curing feminine assistance from home; loomed into view. The intelligentFrench girl might not possess a rudimentary ac quaintance with our language, but she could understand that all requisitions bearing a certain letter and figure were to be brought together in the rack pro vided, and thus a first stage of sorting could be effected. By special favor a glimpse was accorded of the stupendous labor by which the guns are kept at their tireless work. If there is a subject on which the average girl clerk is less likely to be informed, than upon an6ther it is surely that which touches the technicalities and working parts of modern artillery. Yet here are women who ina very few weeks have learned enough to know in which direction to send, forward requisitions conjee rning 9.2 guns, or trench American Steel Going to Japan Tokio, Saturday. Despite criticism . by the press of Japan regarding 1 restriction put upon' the export of steel by the United States every steam ship from the Pacific coast' to Japan Js bringing several thousand tons of steel and shipbuilding materials. The Japanese Americaru Commercial Weekly says the Sado Maru arrived at. Yokohama from Seattle on October 25 with 3,250 . tons of steel' plates worth i,000,000. : The Japan Advertiser, commenting upon this and other arrivals, says: v 'Despite much pessimistic opinion re garding negotiations between Viscount Tshil and the United States authorities all incoming steamships arc bringing steel to Japan. - Purser Masuda, of the Sado Maru, states that America is- not so strict in re gard to steeexports as is generally as serted and; believed v to be the 'rcase iin Japan." The United States will export steel to Japan as usual; provided; such steel is directly for war use. ; Mr&. Masuda asserts. that 'all 'other 'Steamships trading with the Pacific coast of America will bring sunt larly large shipments of steel.' - - 1 ' j the firms: line in France the scene mortars, or' the mightiest of howitzers. It was not always thus, and mistakes "even now are? made that recall the favorite story here of the young lady who, when a demand came down for armored, hose, gayly referred it to the authorities charged witl the issue of clothing. But even in a department which stores something like 23,000 separate items the mistakes have now come to be few and far between. Varieties of Wo.Mt. Less exactine at the outset is the work upon which they are entering at the" cloth ing stores, where it is estimated that four women-will take the place of every three men formerly engaged there. It is a de partment of fabulous figures; indeed, the bare mention in- tons of the first supplies of winter equipment brought over is almost staggering. Greatcoats, .water proofs, warm underwear, boots and ac cessories fill stacks that would, seem in exhaustible. Even buttons and the ribbons that belong to the more generally bestowed medals --make up a sufficiently impfessive total, while, there are armlets, indicative of specialized work the white, green, and red of the offensive gas ser vice is -one of them-that call for a whole series of -wide shelves to contain tnem; fkitchen equipment, every sort of brush that enters into domestic use, enamel ware and hardware, electrical plant, lamps, stoves. baskets, heavy crockery, are but a rew ot the things here ranged which it is in tended to place in women's charge. It will not be, perhaps, as easy a matter to issue them, for there is a regulation system or catalogue entry, and the exact meanings of vouchers referring to, say, "sponge bath," or "bath sponge," are not always obvious until the peculiarities of defini tion have been mastered. Again, the women were to be seen in an enormous depot concerned with the-repair of all sorts of motor, vehicles. Its floor space, suggests acres as the unit of meas urement, and in happier times it. was . a vast jute factory. Every known pattern of motor engine is used by the, army, and it follows, therefore, that the spare parts and. the details employed involve a classi fying and a sorting out of extraordinary complexity. . But the system has been well devised . and the mechanic engaged on a London General Omnibus Company's chassis will not find his work hindered, by being given the -.various items as Used in the Wolseleyf make. f. Only a Beginning. It is not desirable at this juncture to quote the figures that would indicate the extent to which .women have Replaced men, releasing, them to go to the actual front. ,What may be said, however, is that this- advance guard of "Waacs" is but 'a small r company beside: those for whom provision is being made in the near future. Repeatedly were camps "shown that are coming to completion, in which there I "will be .: accommodation f or.v 350 to 500 women, ahd occupied at present. by, a bare" tenth of those numbers.: There is one, amid men's-base camps, where cooks and -waitresses are most urgently wanted. mMmmmmmtmpi Eriginfer Whose FirmJ Built Machine Says 2,oOO:Mile Trip was witnout Acciaent.:.- j -r ; - c : v s i '(Special Dtepatdi.xy.?v"vr - - ' - XondonV Saturday. For the first time the amazing, story of a British battle, aeroplane's, flight to Con stantinople from . London . and its sequel in the bombardment of the German head quarters and . the Turkish War Office there was told recently.by Mr. Handley Page and Mr Basil Johnson, whose firm, tne Koils-Koyce, Ltd., . traiir tne engmes that flew the 2,000 miles1 without a hitch. Loading up at'Hendon. the machine. which with1 spares and luggage was mon than six tons in weight, proceeded to Paris, . Lyons, and, tp avoid the Alps, con tinued by way of Marseilles. -From Mar seilles the journey was by way of Spezzia to Pisa, Rome Naples, and Otranto, which was the last point over rnenaiy country. The next, and perhaps? the mostr-'difficult stage of the journey, was oyer tne Aioan ian Alps to Salonica, a trip of 250 miles across mountains varying from 8.CCQ to L0.O0O feet, wtth no suitable place for landing in case of need. ; ' Squadron Commander Savory, who was the chief pilot, told him, said Mr. Handley Page, that they could see wild Bulgarian horsemen below, who were running about in everv direction, waiting for a chance to kill them if they came down. From Salonica the adventurous party flew to their base, overhauled tne ma chine, and prepared for a long distance bombing expedition to Constantinople, a distance of about 320 miles. On their attacking trip they set forth with sixteen bombs, and on arriving at tne pea Ol maiiuuio. uiiuiucu u j- vym 2,000 feet to 1,600 feet, the Golden-Horn and other points being clearly in view. After a short . survey of the lights of Constantinople, and in order to make sure America's Food Control Means German British Writer Declares 'The Dog Has Begun to Bite the Pig." : ' (Special Dispatch.) London, Saturday. How America's'ehtry; into the war has hurt Germany is the subject of an inter esting article in the Birmingham Post by Edgar Wallace, author and military cor respondent. It is now a case in Which tn. v.Qn 'h(Snin to bite the pig," he C3 ' - - says. - , , "It i3 as well," Mr. Wallace writes, "to separate the causes of' the -present Ger man offensives from the circumstances which have made them possible. We know that the stagnation of the Russian front allows the Germans to employ in the west troops which, were the Russian army an active factor in the war, could not have been employed; we know that the Italian has lost nearly 300,000 men in the course of the fighting of the last month; but neither of these facts ex plains the German offensive plan. For example, the push against the Isonzo was, obviously; uninfluenced by Italian losses because they had not occurred. The push against Italy was, and is, part of the great scheme which would, cer- tainlv have been carried out even if Russia had remained loyal to the Alii ance. "Reason. Is 'America.' w "The reason is summed up in the word America. I do not particularly refer to the forces which America will put into the field. The 'German General Staff, I am certain, has no particular fear that sufficient American troops will be put into the field next year to secure a decision against Germany. I doubt very much whether the German is worrying at all about what will happen in the field in the summer of 1918. But he is tremendous ly concerned over what will happen in Germany between May 'and August of that year unless he can break the fighting spirit of the Entente during the forth coming months of the winter. "It is no secret that Germany. hai been drawing large supplies of food and neces sary raw material from America, via neutral countries. America supplies these articles, in the way of business, just as she supplied Britain with material in the way of business, ahd strictly "in the way of business the neutral countries had been passing on their imports to Germany. Our respect for international law prevented our interfering with trade as between neutral and neutral, and the neutrals made money, and the German got his butter and bacon, his eggs and his coffee, his cheese, and his cotton. .Tolly War Might Have Gone Qn. And so this' jolly waf might have gone on whilst Germany's credit abroad held only America came in! She declared war. she called millions of men, she reorganized! ner Industries to meet the demands of war and then she sat down to take a good look, at the neutrals. And they seemed unnecessarily bloated. They did their best , to engage " her sympathy. And they had little bread' and potato riots just to show there was no deception. and - socialists made perfectly disloval speeches. But America understood. She had been a neutral herself. So she sat down not to invent an elaborate system for the ade quate feeding of neutrals, because she was pretty sure that neutrals would invent a much more elaborate system for getting more than their whack. America said very simply, 'Feed yourselves, you big stiffs T (if the picturesque vulgarity be allowed). ; "In the old nursery yrhyme, when -the stick began to beat the dog, the dog be gan to bite the pig. If the neutral has no food to spare and cannot buy any in America,', the German cannot buy food from the neotraL In fact, the dog has, be gun to bite the pig. The neutrals have no right to complain. If my grocer will give mft all the sugar I require and I sell it to some less fortunate person at a profit, it my lookout if the grocer ceases to supply me and I am left sugarless, owing to1 my generosity. ' . ; : .j : Something Rotten In Germany. "And thatis the position of the neutral The position of Germanyis even clearer. So many millions of tons' of foodstuffs which came to- her. once in the dear dead days are not coming any more. -She is that much shorter of feUM w do not know for one of , their objectives, , they came- down to 800 reet and dropped a salvo of four bombs, hopingito reach the ; Goeben. , which Was anchored Just beneath them. Unfortu nately they missed the vessel-but man aged to hit one or ; two submarines - that were lying alongside her. .-: ?; .? ' Turning on theif track, f they made another attempt on the "Goeben,-and this time; in. spite of the attentions of a num ber, of Turkish and 'German ; anti-aircraft guns managed to plant four bombs on the battle ship. - ' " . . .- , : ' 'Then they flew .up to a ship called th General, which was the headquarters of ; j the German staff, and dropped two bombs $ P'-:j on her, to the great consternation of naval V ; and- .military officers assembled 'in her tf '.i saloons; . - s . v. ...j ; , : r One more target, too temptingtovbe -! missed, attracted thfe Intrnifl missed, attracted the intrepid aviators. And i i 1 they next made their way to. that part of ; ; alJfL? ?t s situated ana dronned two more 4 of i their bombs on the building. The Turkish ' official report on the latter incident quaint- ijr lujimuiicu liiitt-Lcio uy any ins ; . A He tar T- Office was not destroyed. :iV'V, I'-'k As, ;X? i ! i After ;half an hour's ""bombing ; of Co-" stantinople they turned round and started back to their base, Flight Commander McLellan relieving his chief in the steer ing. They had not escaped without dam age, but even after one engine had . been put out of action they were "able 'to' get away without serious damage from the ;"band accompaniment" of gtCns. ; below," ; which had paid them a quite unconifort- y able amount of attentiQn ' : 'V ..' ' . On arriving back at the base no -fewer ' ' than twenty-six bullet hofes were found t in the machine. The journey to .Constan-. j l tinople and back (640 miles) occupied seven hours. s' --i -if-. Handley Page said Engineer Lieutenant Rawlings, who was one of the party, ' re-jii ported that they had no trouble at all with " :-s the engines, although the water in the ra-: r)! ;i diator boiled on a very hot day.- He thought " . the flight, which constituted.a world t ' . record for British aeroplanes, engines and , aviators, showed the great possibilltes 'Ctf' aerial long distance bombing expeditions t -during the war, and also that there were great possibilities for mail and - freight y carrying in times of peace. ; v7T ' : certain the conditions of Germany's food IU reserves. That there is something" rotten h there we know from the curious attitude t ' of Bulgaria. ; '-);'': . ' f "But if the German, with all the supplies V he was sepuring from the neutral, was . short in the spring of 1917, what will be-his r position in the spring of 1918, when the new American embargo becomes fully r opera- ; tive? We think.it will be fairly bad. . The O German crops were poor as were all the '': world's. There i3.a big shortage-of meat 4" -and slaughter cattle, and a dearth of fats' ' '.i it is the fat .shortage and the oil shortage 1 which are bothering him most, apart from j, coffee and rubber and it was , upon the 'j neutral that he leaned for help in reducing;; that shortage. ;- ' ' ' " - :' "Nobody but a perfectly insane person : or a statistician iwho will believe : any;! thing imagines that the world , shortage of food does not affect Germany!' It does t affect her very seriously. It will affect!!'.; her worse this year than it did-last. ' "If my theory is sound and well founded ,i we should look to-th collapse of the war K in June or July. I do not say If the- Ger- j man does not break us in the field be i tween now and August. He won't break Us in the field or starve us in our homes. $ On -the other hand but perhaps sheer optimism is out of place in this article. Germany Appeals : to Jews to Court A Turks in! Palestine Professor Delbrud? Declares England May Hold Jerusalem Now, bit Will Lose (iy XfterWar;-: .i ':'.... - - ' ; . '. -K-t' tf - - 1 (Special Dtaprtch.t..j;ifwvt K Berlin; Satiif dar. : Much the most Interesting German com- 1 ment that t yet has" appeared' ori Hie ; sit- ' uation In Palestine, whichnowhas been marked ly tibe fallpf Jerusalemi3?coh- tained in a statement' made lastweek by J Professor Delbruck, of .the'Unlversitir j Berlin, to a Jewish 'news a.gencirA ! :' ' Dealing especially 'with Mr;. . Balfour'a j communication to Lord Rothschild,', Pro- fessor Delbruck appealed to i the i Jews to i cling fast to'feermany, in the "belief that i Turkey, as. an ally pt Germany .""will after j all emerge from the war. without" the loss : of Palestine. Ac&fcrdmgtbtlae. Frankfur- , ter Zeitung Professor.' DeiSruck's state- ' mentis:, V rS, - "The English,, TbjA :have mobilized ; against us all the Stas cf; the world, , down to the smallest Central. American 1 Republics, are now trying to'wtoln'Zion- ism also an ally against' Germany. Thv do not promise an Independent state,' and z.iouisui aoes not, inaeea, aim at that,1 but they do promise an Independent religious community in Palestine under their-protectorate. v ' ; -v. . "It cannot be denied that at tht first glance such a promise has seductive at tractions for the Jews. England is power ful, guarantees political and economic order, and is tolerant in religion.. Never theless, "it would be very shortsighted ' if the Zionists were consequently to declare tnemseives tne allies of the Entente .On may think of Zionism as one will; but it is undeniable that it has its spiritual -root in merman Judaism, and Mhat it vwould wither away if its moral connection' with Germany and with German Judaism were to'be cut or even Interrupted. -t, - Bttt, apart from this, the nolitical cI- 9ulatJonrwhichr builds upon English power will prove deceptive. Although the Eng lish may have taken Gaza and may be moving on Jerusalem, and although : they may even seize Jerusalem-itself, theT gen eral result or tne -.war will most jCer tainly take this conquest from them again, even if the conclusion of peace were to confirm English sovereignty in Egypt. It is" quite, certain that the war will not give the English" territorial gains In addition Isflo Egypt; on the -contrary. If they keen me nigypuan sovereignty -tney will have to give compensation for it . - - ' ; According, to .all human calculation therefore the Turks : remain the lords of Palestine. . Consequently, ,. anybody, who desires to promote Zionism has every rea son to put himself well with, the Turks, end therefore also with.the Germans.. A Zionism whlch to-day associates itself with the enemies of Turkey is committing suicide. - - v " - - H Defeat t -

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