Are Public Opinion Polls
Likely To Go Wrong In 1956
By Kenneth Pink, Director
Princeton Research Service
PRINCETON, N. J. — Public
opinion polls today give Eised
howe#- the nod over Stevenson—
and by a somev^hat larger margin
than Eisenhower had in 1952.
How accurate are the Polls to
day? Add what will be the effect
on the two major Presidential
eandidates and on rank and file
voters of knowing that the Polls
have established Eisenhower the
1956 favorite?
Former Presided t Harry S.
Truman, who feels that he should
know, maintains sturdily that he
doesn’t believe in Polls. He ar
gues that in 1948, Polls showed
Dewey to be the winner, but that
he was elected nevertheless.
Adlai Stevenson firmly believes
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that he can beat the Priesident
for re-election In spite of the opin
ions of the pollsters and political
experts.
Stevenson argues that thie De
mocrats have picked up nine
governorships and gained more
than 500 seats in State Legisla
tures in the last four years. This
record he feels argues that pub
lic opinion polls are misleading.
Mr. Stevenson could also point
up the fact that in 1954, Congress
(Hoi^se of Representatives) went
Democratic. In the 1954 Congres
sional elections, Democratic Con
gressional candidates took 52.58
per cent of the official nationwide
two party vote; the Republicans,
47.42 per cent.
Now what about the Polls this
year? How accurate are they at
this time? How accurate are they
likely to be in November?
This is the way MAN ON THE
STREET sizes up the Polls.
First of all, the Polls could go
wrong again but they are not
very likely to. Polls are a man
made technique; and as such, are
imperfect and thus likely to go
wrong at times. MAN ON THE
STREET, however, believes that
the likelihood of the Polls being
wrong at this time are very slim
and that the Polls have a far
better chance of being right this
November than in past years
One fact that MAN ON THE
STREET believes should make
Poll predictions more accurate
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this year is that he finds voters
showing little hesitancy in stat
ing their preferences between the
two Presidential candidates with
the result that a very low pro
portion of voters say they are
UNDECIDED. The low propor
tion of undecided voters this
Presidential Election year should
make the job of predicting the
election somewhat easier this
year than heretofore.
Now what effect are the Polls
likely to have on the two major
political candidates—Eisenhower
and Stevenson and their advisers
—in the coming campaign?
The fact that Stevenson is
shown to be the low man could
very well make Stevenson and
his advisers decide to fight even
harder than they would have if
they were given at least an even
chance.
With everything to gain and
presumably nothing to lose, the
Stevenson camp will undoubtedly
decide to fight harder and hit
harded in the clinches. Other
things being equal, American vo
ters love a fighter who hits hard
and solidly.
Should Stevenson and his aides
work out a fighting campaign
that would attract the attention
and gain the sympathy of rank
and file voters, changes in senti.
ment could and probably would
take place.
In this connection, MAN ON
THE STREET would like to point
out this one important fact to
leaders in both political camps:
Voters do change their minds dur
ing a political campaign, MAN
ON THE STREET has personally
seen voters change their minds
overnight in a number of elections
that he has worked on and pre
dicted correctly.
Today’s findings are no indica
tion that the vote will turn out
in the same way on November 6.
Should the Stevenson team de
cide to roll up their sleeves and
wage a fighting campaign, they
unquestionably have a chance to
win supporters.
What of the effect on Eisenhow.
er and his team of knowing that
Ike is the established favorite at
this time? Will the GOP leaders
be likely to try to coast in on
today’s sentiment? Will they be
likely to wage a lofty, idealistic
campaign in somewhat the same
way that Governor Dewey did in
1918? If they do decide to wage
the same kind of campaign that
Dewey did: namely to infer that
opinion does not change and that
all they need to do is to preserve
the status quo and do nothing to
upset the applecart, history may
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Gaxdnei-Webb
Night Classes
Begin Sept. 10
BOILING SPRINGS — Gard
ner-Webb College is ready to of
fer night classes for college cre
dit beginning Sept. 10, it was an
nounced today by Dr. P. L. Elli
ott, president. The student must
meet regular entrance and atten
dance requirements for credit.
Registration for the classes
will begin Sept. 7 at 6:30 p. m.
Courses are offered in freshman
English, typing, history ,and Bi
ble. All courses offer fully trans
ferable college credit, and class
es will be taught by fully quai
fied faculty members.
According to Dean J. O. Terrfell
the classes will meet each Mon
day, Tuesday and Thursday night
for one hour each. English and
typing will be taught at 6:30 p.
m., Bible at 7:30, and history ,at
8:30. A student may enroll for
one, two, or three courses. A
number of students are expected
from Cleveland, Gaston, and
Rutherford counties.
Dr. E. S. Wehnnt
Rites Held Friday
Funeral services were held Fri
day at 2:30 p, m. at First Me
thodist church, Cherryville, lor
Dr. Evon S. Wehunt, 64, who died
in Presbyterian Hospital Wednes
day.
Dr. Wehunt was a native of
Lincoln County, and lived and
practiced dentistry in Cherryville
for the past 35 years He was a
leadin geitizen in all civic and
community affairs.
Survivors include his wife, Vi
da L. Heavner Wehunt; two
daughters, Mrs, C. T. Hampton
of Germany, and Miss Libby We
hunt*of the home who is the
fiancee of Paul McGinnis, Jr., of
Kings Mountain: two sons, Evon
B. Wehunt of Franklin Park, 111.,
and Lloyd Wehunt of Valdese;
three brothers, Forrest and Love
Wehunt of Vale, and J. Carr We
hunt of Cherryville; and a sis
ter, Mrs. Ray Hoyle of Cherry
ville.
The Rev. Mr. Cook and the
Rev. Mr. Lamb officiated. Burial
was in the church cemetery.
repeat itself the way it did in
1948.
Should this happen, it still does
not mean that the POLLS WILL
GO WRONG. MAN ON THE
STREET believes that should a
change in sentiment take place
among rank and file voters be
tween now and Election Day, the
Polls will very likely find and
report it.
One other, matter should bi
mentioned here is the effec
today’s Polls showing Eisenhowe
a heavy favorite will have or
rank and file voters. Is the fac!
that Polls show Ike the favorite
today likely to create a bandwa
gon effect and cause even more
voters to switch to the GOP can
didate? Man On The Street
doesnt’ believe that this will hap
pen.
The Literary Digest Poll in
1936 which showed Landon the
winner over F. D. R. (President
Roosevelt that year took every
state in the Union except Maine
and Vermont); and the 1948 Dew
ey-Truman forecast showing Dew.
ey the winner have disproved afty
such bandwagon effect and show
conclusively that voters cast their
ballots the way they want to,
regardless of what he Polls show.
Summing up then: the Polls
that up to now have shown Hi
senhower the favorite have been
correct; that the Polls could go
wrong in November but they are
Summing up then, the Polls
not very likely to; that the low
proportion of Undecided Voters
this year should make the task
of the Pollsters easier; that voters
do change their minds during an
election campaign; that a hard
hitting campaign by Stevenson
combined with a lofty, high-level
campaign by Eisenhower could
very well change sentiment be
tween now and Election Day; and
finally, that there is little or no
bandwagon effect engendered by
the Polls establishing one candi
date a heavy favorite over the
other.
The Herald presents MAN ON
THE STREET exclusively in this
area.
Letter To The Editor
Dear Driver:
You don't know my little daugh
ter Debby who is just six and
has started her first year of
! school.
You haven’t seen how she can
turn from eager enthusiasm to
solemn unconcern to youthful
wisdom. No, you coundn’t know
her or love her as -I do—that’s
why it seems strange that I have
to trust her vtery life to you!
Yes, to you—because as she
marches off to school regularly
1 she’ll be crossing streets, playing
along the way, frolicking around
the school.
I hoped I was preparing her
when J[ threw in some advice a
bout the safe way to do these
things—in answering her quest
tions about all the wonders of
thle first grade.
But this is pretty new to her
and she may make mistakes. Deb
by isn’t irresponsible, yet she is
not responsible. For her, the
crushing dangers of trafffic are
not real. I can tell her, but it
would be like describing the Giant
in the story of Jack and the Bban
McGinnis Clan
Held Reunion
CHERRYVILLE — The descen
dants of Nathan and Susan Me
Ginnis gtherfed on Sunday, Aug
ust 19th, at the Carlton Club
House for their annual Reunion.
A bountiful dinner was spread
at 1 o’clock on tables set up on
the terrace. Rev. W. G. Cobb re
turned Thanks and all tenjoyed
the delicious dinner.
Following the dinner a short
business session was held with
the president, George David Me.
Ginnis presiding. Thfe following
officers were elected for the en
suing year: Paul McGinnis, Cher
ry ville, President: Milton Loy,
Cherryville, Vice Pres.; and Mrs.
Annie Sue Harrison of Charlotte,
Secretary and Treasurer.
Mr. A. E. Beam made a short
talk, fdllowed by group singing
led by Rev W. G. Cobb, accom
panied at the piano by Mrs. Julia
R. Hall.
About onte hundred seventy-five
were present, including the three
living children of Nathan and Su
san McGinnis; Wiley McGinnis
of Cherryville; Henry and Hinkle
McGinnis of Kings Mountain.
stalk.
But you know and you can
watch out for her You can watch
for her as she plays on the way
home from school, and you can
use caution when you see her.
You can be ready to stop if shte
should dash out from behind a
parked car or follow a rolling
ball into the street. If you re
member how dear she is to me
you’ll drive slowly through
every school zone.
Since you have been granted
the privilege to drive, I have to
assume that you will do these
things. But will (you? Will you
drive eartefully, whereever there
are childretn, not only because it
is your legal responsibility but be
cause you care as much as I do
that the frightening roar of traf
fic death—of the Giant—ntever
becomes real for a little girl who
has so much ahead of her to
learn?
Sincerely,
* Bill Crowell
Royster Services
Held Thursday
Funeral services were held
Thursday at 4 p. m. at Grover
First Baptist church for John
Bunyon Royster, 69, of Grover
who diied in a Gaffney, S C., hos
pital Wednesday afternoon.
A native of Cleveland County,
he was a partner, with his son, in
the Royster Grocery Co., of Gro
ver. He was a member of First
Baptist church and thte son of the
late Mr. and Mrs. Lee Royster.
Survivors include his widow,
Mrs. Annie Blalock Royster; four
sons, Grier and Frank Royster of
Grovter, J. B Royster, Jr., of
Greenville, S. C., and Georgle
Royster of Gaffney; three daugh
ters Mrs. James Blalock, of Gro
ver/ Mrs. Robert Moritz of Eu
reka, Calif. ,artd Mrs. Richard
Luckenbaugh of Portland, Ore.
Thfe Rev W. F. Monroe, and the
Rev. Donald Cabiness officiated.
Burial was in Grover Cemetery.
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Dr. D. M. Morrison
Optometrist
will be in his Kings Moun
tain office each Friday
afternoon.
1 p. m. to 5 p. m.
Office in
MORRISON BUILDING
Harold
George
A husband is a guy who
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the batting - averages of
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